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Rankings
#18 of 102 in Division 4
#6 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #9 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D4 (+190 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-20 A #163 Copley (6-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 118
08/28 W 36-35 H #212 Manchester (Akron) (4-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 37-26 A #252 Alliance (5-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 134
09/11 W 42-35 H #152 Norton (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 138
09/18 W 41-24 A #294 Kent Roosevelt (4-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 19 (88%), perf. rating 138
09/25 L 42-35 H #209 Cloverleaf (7-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 109
10/02 W 63-14 A #454 Ravenna (4-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 151
10/09 W 42-0 A #546 Field (2-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 136
10/16 H #199 Woodridge (7-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/23 A #285 Tallmadge (4-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 15 (84%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
28.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 85% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.95 (23.55-29.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 23.20 (18.85-24.85) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 54%
Based on eventual number of wins
(58%) 8W: 28.35 (26.25-29.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(33%) 7W: 23.70 (21.55-26.25) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 79%
( 9%) 6W: 20.45 (18.85-22.15) 100% in, 96% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Cleveland Central Cath. (5-3) 29%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(58%) WW: 28.35 (26.25-29.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 9%) WL: 25.15 (23.55-26.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(24%) LW: 23.65 (21.55-24.85) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 72%
( 9%) LL: 20.45 (18.85-22.15) 100% in, 96% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Cleveland Central Cath. (5-3) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 128.4, #159, D4 #18), appears locked in and likely home, 83% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 125.6, #179, D4 #22), appears locked in and likely home, 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 130.7, #149, D4 #18), appears locked in and likely home, 90% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 127.9, #158, D4 #18), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 124.9, #182, D4 #21), 97% (bubble if 3-7), 83% home (maybe if 5-5), 51% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 124.4, #186, D4 #22), 93% (bubble if 3-7), 80% home (maybe if 5-5), 56% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 128.6, #160, D4 #16), 89% (bubble if 3-7), 76% home (maybe if 5-5), 53% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 134.2, #130, D4 #12), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 83% home (maybe if 5-5), 66% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 130.5