Region 10 home page
Region 10 projections
Region 10 playoff probabilities
Region 10 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 10 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#49 of 104 in Division 3
#13 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #70 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D3 (-170 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 10-6 A #220 Buckeye (0-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 32 (7%), perf. rating 128
08/28 L 12-10 H #268 Keystone (2-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (66%), perf. rating 108
09/04 A #363 Carrollton (1-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 H #528 Cuyahoga Falls (1-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 32 (97%)
09/18 A #672 Springfield (Akron) (0-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 A #186 Streetsboro (1-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 14 (19%)
10/02 H #450 Field (1-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 A #305 Tallmadge (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/16 A #304 Ravenna (2-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/23 H #155 Norton (2-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
4.24 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (bubble if 4-6), 61% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.89 ( 1.82- 7.14) 95% in, 74% home, 33% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 3.46 ( 1.11- 6.21) 60% in, 26% home, 5% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Buchtel (0-2) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 9W: 6.73 ( 6.28- 7.14) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(16%) 8W: 5.84 ( 5.25- 6.40) 100% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 85%
(22%) 7W: 5.01 ( 4.40- 5.56) 100% in, 98% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 26%
(24%) 6W: 4.24 ( 3.74- 4.72) 99% in, 64% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Buchtel (0-2) 11%
(18%) 5W: 3.48 ( 3.09- 4.06) 83% in, 11% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Buchtel (0-2) 12%
( 9%) 4W: 2.79 ( 2.37- 3.12) 22% in, proj. out (#9-out), Maumee (1-1) 16%
( 4%) 3W: 2.10 ( 1.77- 2.42) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WWWWWWWW: 6.73 ( 6.29- 7.13) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 7%) WWWLWWWW: 5.88 ( 5.43- 6.40) 100% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 85%
( 7%) WWWWWWWL: 5.75 ( 5.25- 6.24) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 82%
(10%) WWWLWWWL: 4.99 ( 4.41- 5.48) 100% in, 99% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), bye 24%
( 7%) WWWLWLWL: 4.24 ( 3.84- 4.55) 100% in, 65% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Buchtel (0-2) 12%
( 7%) WWWLWWLL: 4.18 ( 3.73- 4.50) 99% in, 57% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Maumee (1-1) 11%
( 8%) WWWLWLLL: 3.46 ( 3.09- 3.79) 84% in, 11% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Buchtel (0-2) 12%
( 2%) LWWLLLLL: 2.10 ( 1.86- 2.31) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 112.9, #271, D3 #49), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 68% home (maybe if 5-5), 32% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 117.7, #229, D3 #45), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 46% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 102.2, #346, D3 #64), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Last season 106.3