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Rankings
#33 of 100 in Division 2
#7 of 25 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #25 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #386 Sandusky (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (92%)
08/28 H #94 Buckeye (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/04 H #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 26 (93%)
09/11 A #88 Berea-Midpark (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #81 Avon Lake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/25 A #45 Olmsted Falls (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 H #389 Elyria (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/09 A #1 Avon (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/16 H #49 North Ridgeville (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/23 A #156 Midview (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 5 (63%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
59% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.65 ( 0.60-39.15) 63% in, 40% home, 18% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 5.10 ( 0.00-27.80) 21% in, 9% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 33.65 (27.50-39.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 6%) 9W: 27.80 (21.05-34.85) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 9%) 8W: 23.10 (15.45-31.15) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
(12%) 7W: 18.95 (12.65-26.55) 99% in, 93% home, 26% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
(15%) 6W: 15.05 ( 8.25-23.95) 97% in, 54% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 10%
(17%) 5W: 11.60 ( 5.65-20.05) 72% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 8.35 ( 3.80-16.50) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 12%
(13%) 3W: 5.60 ( 1.85-13.75) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 14%
( 7%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.20-10.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.30 ( 0.55- 6.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 7%
Start (0-0) 6%
Rhodes (0-0) 6%
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Avon (0-0) 16%
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 13%
North Ridgeville (0-0) 10%
Olmsted Falls (0-0) 10%
Findlay (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 135.5, #118, D2 #35), 36% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 137.7