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Rankings
#77 of 80 in Division 1
#18 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #43 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #6 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #216 Mayfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (15%)
08/28 H #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 10 (31%)
09/04 A #396 Barberton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #45 Olmsted Falls (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/18 A #49 North Ridgeville (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/25 H #81 Avon Lake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/02 A #113 Amherst Steele (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/09 H #156 Midview (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 H #88 Berea-Midpark (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/23 A #1 Avon (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.40 ( 0.60-31.70) 46% in, 14% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Hudson (0-0) 9%
Lose: 1.25 ( 0.00-26.00) 10% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 17.40 (11.95-24.35) 100% in, 90% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 15%
( 2%) 6W: 13.70 ( 7.35-21.40) 99% in, 58% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 5W: 10.65 ( 5.45-18.75) 92% in, 24% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Strongsville (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 4W: 7.85 ( 3.10-16.10) 66% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Hudson (0-0) 10%
(11%) 3W: 5.40 ( 1.80-12.20) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
(18%) 2W: 3.10 ( 1.15- 9.70) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
(28%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.55- 6.10) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(29%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Hudson (0-0) 9%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 9%
Strongsville (0-0) 9%
Brunswick (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 22%
St Edward (0-0) 17%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 16%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 97.0, #389, D1 #77), 15% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 97.2