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Rankings
#35 of 72 in Division 1
#9 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #49 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D1 (-20 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 28-7 A #188 Brunswick (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 158
08/29 L 28-26 H #225 Euclid (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 39 (97%), perf. rating 113
09/05 W 48-34 A #182 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (39%), perf. rating 149
09/12 W 20-19 A #100 Amherst Steele (2-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 144
09/19 H #215 Midview (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/26 H #3 Avon (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/03 A #87 North Ridgeville (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/10 H #65 Olmsted Falls (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/17 H #463 Elyria (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/24 A #71 Avon Lake (1-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.50 ( 9.60-33.90) 100% in, 88% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-#12), John Marshall (1-3) 18%
Lose: 11.65 ( 6.65-28.45) 99% in, 39% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 8W: 25.40 (21.70-29.05) 100% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 45%
(22%) 7W: 21.20 (16.95-25.60) 100% in, 99% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), John Marshall (1-3) 25%
(31%) 6W: 17.50 (12.55-23.55) 100% in, 96% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), John Marshall (1-3) 21%
(32%) 5W: 13.90 ( 9.60-19.95) 100% in, 67% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Medina (2-2) 22%
( 5%) 4W: 10.95 ( 6.65-16.95) 99% in, 16% home, proj. #9 (#7-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WLWWWW: 25.40 (21.70-28.55) 100% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 44%
( 9%) WLWWWL: 21.85 (18.10-25.60) 100% home, 9% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), John Marshall (1-3) 24%
( 7%) WLWLWW: 20.55 (17.45-24.30) 100% in, 99% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), John Marshall (1-3) 26%
(11%) WLWLWL: 18.05 (14.45-21.85) 100% in, 97% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), John Marshall (1-3) 21%
(10%) WLLWWL: 17.65 (13.90-21.35) 100% in, 97% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), John Marshall (1-3) 22%
( 9%) WLLLWW: 16.30 (12.55-20.65) 100% in, 92% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), John Marshall (1-3) 19%
(30%) WLLLWL: 13.90 ( 9.60-18.25) 100% in, 67% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Medina (2-2) 22%
( 5%) LLLLWL: 10.40 ( 6.65-14.10) 99% in, 14% home, proj. #9 (#7-out), Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) 24%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 140.4, #101, D1 #35), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 138.9, #105, D1 #34), 98% (likely in at 3-7 or better), 61% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 131.6, #144, D1 #43), 72% (bubble if 3-7), 28% home (maybe if 5-5), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 147.9, #70, D1 #30), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 140.6, #100, D1 #36), 77% (bubble if 4-6), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 138.9