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Rankings
#28 of 104 in Division 2
#7 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #36 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D2 (+55 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 41-0 H #337 North Olmsted (0-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 31 (92%), perf. rating 163
08/29 W 37-12 H #317 Valley Forge (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 142
09/05 W 16-6 A #204 North Royalton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 139
09/12 L 55-7 H #3 Avon (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 29 (4%), perf. rating 125
09/19 A #463 Elyria (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/26 A #215 Midview (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/03 H #101 Berea-Midpark (3-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/10 A #71 Avon Lake (1-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/17 H #100 Amherst Steele (2-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/24 A #65 Olmsted Falls (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
18.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.25 ( 4.25-29.65) 90% in, 66% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 9W: 26.20 (23.65-29.65) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 82%
(23%) 8W: 22.00 (18.25-26.70) 100% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 24%
(26%) 7W: 18.35 (13.25-23.70) 100% in, 90% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 14%
(22%) 6W: 15.10 (10.80-20.60) 98% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 15%
(14%) 5W: 11.55 ( 7.95-16.40) 51% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 21%
( 3%) 4W: 8.60 ( 4.25-12.85) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) WWWWWW: 26.20 (23.65-29.65) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 82%
( 8%) WWWLWW: 23.00 (20.00-26.65) 100% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 45%
(10%) WWWWWL: 21.65 (18.25-25.55) 100% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rhodes (3-1) 15%
(10%) WWWLWL: 18.70 (15.10-23.05) 100% in, 89% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 16%
( 8%) WWWLLL: 15.60 (12.10-19.35) 98% in, 37% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 15%
( 7%) WWLLWL: 14.55 (11.40-18.15) 99% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Avon Lake (1-3) 18%
(11%) WWLLLL: 11.55 ( 8.40-15.00) 48% in, 2% home, proj. out (#7-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 21%
( 3%) WLLLLL: 8.60 ( 4.25-11.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 67%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 143.4, #87, D2 #28), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 148.6, #67, D2 #19), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 73% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 154.7, #48, D2 #16), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 42% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 153.8, #48, D2 #15), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 149.0, #63, D2 #15), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 153.5