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Rankings
#73 of 100 in Division 2
#17 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #41 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D2 (-595 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-16 H #214 Amherst Steele (4-4) D2 R6, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 80
08/28 L 51-6 A #124 Fremont Ross (5-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 74
09/04 L 53-7 A #16 Canton McKinley (7-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 110
09/11 L 23-21 H #218 Padua Franciscan (4-4) D3 R10, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 115
09/18 L 39-26 H #240 Vermilion (6-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 16 (16%), perf. rating 95
09/25 L 47-0 A #149 Tiffin Columbian (6-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 69
10/02 L 42-6 A #53 Perkins (8-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 100
10/09 L 21-20 H #336 Clyde (3-5) D4 R14, pick: L by 11 (23%), perf. rating 101
10/16 H #571 Norwalk (0-8) D3 R10, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 A #220 Port Clinton (7-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.55 ( 0.55- 5.05) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 4.00) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 2W: 4.05 ( 4.05- 5.05) out, proj. out
(91%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.55- 4.00) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WW: 4.05 ( 4.05- 5.05) out
(90%) WL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 1.05) out
( 3%) LL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 93.5, #411, D2 #75), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (0-6, 93.0, #411, D2 #76), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (0-5, 97.6, #382, D2 #73), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (0-4, 97.4, #388, D2 #73), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 91.7, #420, D2 #76), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 89.9, #430, D2 #78), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 97.0, #390, D2 #74), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 97.4, #386, D2 #73), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 85.8