Region 6 home page
Region 6 projections
Region 6 playoff probabilities
Region 6 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 6 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#32 of 104 in Division 2
#8 of 27 in Region 6
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 21-12 A #129 Strongsville (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 14 (73%), perf. rating 149
08/30 (week 2) L 40-16 H #50 Benedictine (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 9 (32%), perf. rating 116
09/06 (week 3) L 28-7 H #15 Chardon (3-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (3%), perf. rating 139
09/13 (week 4) W 36-35 A #134 Berea-Midpark (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 136
09/20 (week 5) H #189 Midview (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/27 (week 6) A #132 Amherst Steele (4-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 1 (52%)
10/04 (week 7) A #348 Elyria (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (95%)
10/11 (week 8) H #79 Olmsted Falls (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/18 (week 9) A #29 North Ridgeville (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/25 (week 10) H #14 Avon (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#8 of 104 in Division 2
Regular season projections
5-5 record
14.26 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (bubble if 3-7), 22% home (likely needs 6-4), 2% twice (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.16 ( 6.75-31.26) 95% in, 28% home, 2% twice, proj. #11 (#1-out), Olmsted Falls (3-1) 13%
Lose: 7.66 ( 3.88-26.47) 50% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Avon (4-0) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 24.50 (22.08-27.03) 100% home, 37% twice, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Fremont Ross (1-3) 15%
(19%) 6W: 19.05 (16.38-23.14) 100% in, 87% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Olmsted Falls (3-1) 18%
(31%) 5W: 14.26 (11.58-18.00) 100% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-#16), Clay (3-1) 19%
(31%) 4W: 10.58 ( 7.45-16.74) 88% in, 1% home, proj. #14 (#8-out), Wadsworth (4-0) 22%
(13%) 3W: 7.00 ( 4.48-11.85) 25% in, proj. out (#11-out), Avon (4-0) 40%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWL: 24.45 (22.08-27.03) 100% home, 43% twice, proj. #5 (#3-#6), Fremont Ross (1-3) 15%
(16%) WWWWLL: 19.00 (16.38-21.02) 100% in, 87% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Olmsted Falls (3-1) 20%
( 8%) WLWWLL: 14.82 (12.29-16.84) 100% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#8-#16), Amherst Steele (4-0) 19%
(20%) WWWLLL: 14.11 (11.58-16.58) 100% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-#15), Clay (3-1) 21%
( 5%) LWWLLL: 10.63 ( 8.66-12.45) 95% in, proj. #13 (#10-out), North Ridgeville (4-0) 21%
(23%) WLWLLL: 10.08 ( 7.45-12.60) 86% in, proj. #14 (#10-out), Wadsworth (4-0) 22%
(11%) LLWLLL: 6.95 ( 4.48-10.03) 18% in, proj. out (#13-out), Avon (4-0) 48%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 135.7, #123, D2 #32), 85% (bubble if 3-7), 22% home (likely needs 6-4), 2% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 135.8, #121, D2 #29), 76% (bubble if 3-7), 22% home (likely needs 6-4), 2% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #14 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 131.2, #145, D2 #34), 62% (bubble if 3-7), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #14 at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 137.8, #117, D2 #31), 81% (bubble if 3-7), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 138.1, #109, D2 #27), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 35% home (maybe if 6-4), 11% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 133.8