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Rankings
#7 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #20 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D2 (+508 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 22-21 A #13 St Ignatius (4-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 37 (96%), perf. rating 181
08/28 L 48-18 H Pine-Richland PA (4-1) D2
09/04 L 43-22 A #17 Upper Arlington (5-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 146
09/11 W 62-21 H #173 North Ridgeville (2-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 185
09/18 W 58-33 A #54 Olmsted Falls (4-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 191
09/25 W 52-21 H #121 Berea-Midpark (4-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 180
10/02 A #225 Midview (3-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 H #196 Amherst Steele (3-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/16 A #92 Avon Lake (3-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 H #477 Elyria (0-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
27.48 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#1 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.48 (18.55-28.99) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
Lose: 23.90 (19.00-26.42) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(94%) 8W: 27.48 (26.16-28.99) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 6%) 7W: 23.90 (22.03-28.29) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(94%) WWWW: 27.48 (26.16-28.99) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) WWLW: 23.85 (22.03-25.87) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 97%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 177.5, #14, D2 #7), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 176.7, #14, D2 #7), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 4 (2-2, 175.6, #16, D2 #9), likely in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 3 (1-2, 179.4, #11, D2 #7), likely in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 182.6, #5, D2 #4), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 180.9, #4, D2 #4), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 90% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 197.0, #1, D2 #1), likely in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 201.2