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Rankings
#1 of 104 in Division 2
#1 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #10 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D2 (+770 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-14 H #64 St Ignatius (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 29 (91%), perf. rating 185
08/28 L 25-22 A Port Orange Spruce Creek FL (4-0) D1
09/05 W 28-16 H #18 Glenville (2-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 186
09/12 W 55-7 A #87 North Ridgeville (3-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 29 (96%), perf. rating 208
09/19 H #65 Olmsted Falls (3-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/26 A #101 Berea-Midpark (3-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/03 H #215 Midview (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/10 A #100 Amherst Steele (2-2) D2 R6, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/17 H #71 Avon Lake (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/24 A #463 Elyria (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
31.11 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 31.11 (20.17-33.68) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 99%
Lose: 25.61 (18.80-28.49) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 72%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 9W: 31.11 (29.19-33.68) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 8W: 26.95 (24.29-32.28) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WWWWWW: 31.11 (29.19-33.68) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WWWWLW: 27.38 (25.61-30.41) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 1%) WWWLWW: 26.87 (25.00-29.29) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 97%
( 1%) LWWWWW: 26.01 (24.29-28.49) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 80%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 189.1, #3, D2 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 185.0, #3, D2 #1), likely in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 184.8, #3, D2 #1), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 89% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 186.3, #2, D2 #1), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 87% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 185.3, #2, D2 #1), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 79% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 186.5