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Rankings
#6 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #3 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #14 Glenville (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 A #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 40 (98%)
09/11 H Canisius NY (0-0) D2
09/18 A #5 St Edward (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/25 H Football North ON (0-0) D4
10/02 H Farrell PA (0-0) D7
10/09 H Cornerstone Christian TX (0-0) D4
10/16 A #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/24 H #30 Canton McKinley (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
6-3 record
20.99 Harbin points (divisor 81)
#6 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 4-5), 49% home (maybe if 6-3), 17% bye (maybe if 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.36 ( 4.19-39.99) 92% in, 68% home, 26% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 14.01 ( 0.00-32.96) 53% in, 19% home, 2% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 31.22 (23.26-39.99) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 8%) 8W: 28.20 (18.40-39.86) 100% in, 99% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 67%
(19%) 7W: 24.66 (12.12-35.78) 99% in, 89% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 35%
(25%) 6W: 20.99 ( 9.54-33.87) 96% in, 64% home, 11% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 12%
(23%) 5W: 16.77 ( 6.13-28.81) 78% in, 26% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 12.64 ( 4.59-23.40) 41% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Ashland (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 3W: 8.91 ( 2.56-18.17) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Ashland (0-0) 12%
( 2%) 2W: 5.17 ( 1.28-11.82) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 1W: 2.41 ( 0.72- 5.97) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Walnut Ridge (0-0) 6%
DeSales (Columbus) (0-0) 6%
Ashland (0-0) 6%
Hamilton Township (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Bishop Watterson (0-0) 19%
Big Walnut (0-0) 16%
Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) 8%
Canal Winchester (0-0) 8%
Ashland (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 128.4, #161, D2 #46), 28% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 178.9