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Rankings
#19 of 104 in Division 2
#4 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #17 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D2 (+268 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 30-0 H #240 Buchtel (0-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 159
08/29 W 42-17 H #141 Medina (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 19 (83%), perf. rating 168
09/05 W 64-0 H #629 North (Akron) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 115
09/12 W 27-21 A #83 Green (Uniontown) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 155
09/19 A #79 Louisville (4-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/26 A #274 GlenOak (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/03 H #31 Canton McKinley (3-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/10 H #82 Perry (Massillon) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/17 A #24 Lake (Uniontown) (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/24 H #92 Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
20.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
87% (likely needs 6-4), 68% home (likely needs 7-3), 35% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.05 (13.15-37.25) 99% in, 92% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 59%
Lose: 16.70 ( 8.00-32.30) 73% in, 39% home, 8% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 34.10 (30.40-37.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(14%) 9W: 28.85 (24.95-35.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(24%) 8W: 24.00 (20.25-28.45) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 62%
(26%) 7W: 20.00 (15.60-25.45) 99% in, 82% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Teays Valley (3-1) 12%
(20%) 6W: 16.05 (12.30-23.30) 82% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Northland (2-2) 11%
(10%) 5W: 12.50 ( 9.30-19.15) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Westerville South (3-1) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WWWWWW: 34.10 (30.40-37.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 9%) WWWWLW: 28.40 (24.95-31.85) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(14%) WWLWLW: 23.85 (20.25-27.60) 100% in, 99% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 63%
( 6%) WWLLLW: 19.85 (16.70-24.45) 99% in, 81% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 13%
(10%) LWLWLW: 19.50 (15.95-23.20) 99% in, 75% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Teays Valley (3-1) 14%
( 7%) LWLWLL: 15.90 (12.70-19.65) 87% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 12%
( 7%) LWLLLW: 15.50 (12.30-19.25) 70% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Northland (2-2) 12%
( 9%) LWLLLL: 12.40 ( 9.30-16.00) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out), Ashland (4-0) 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 148.9, #63, D2 #19), 87% (likely needs 6-4), 68% home (likely needs 7-3), 35% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 139.7, #102, D2 #28), 60% (bubble if 5-5), 35% home (maybe if 7-3), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 149.2, #61, D2 #19), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 6-4), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 143.3, #83, D2 #23), 82% (bubble if 4-6), 62% home (maybe if 6-4), 35% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 137.2, #115, D2 #26), 70% (bubble if 5-5), 48% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 137.5