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Rankings
#32 of 100 in Division 2
#9 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #14 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D2 (-15 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-8 H #302 Buchtel (3-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 147
08/28 W 18-14 A #241 Medina (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (92%), perf. rating 125
09/04 L 22-15 H #88 Garfield Heights (4-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 129
09/11 L 24-20 H #109 Green (Uniontown) (3-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 130
09/18 W 27-18 H #123 Louisville (4-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 147
09/25 W 26-14 H #215 GlenOak (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 20 (90%), perf. rating 136
10/02 A #19 Canton McKinley (5-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #177 Perry (Massillon) (2-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 H #85 Lake (Uniontown) (4-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/23 A #63 Jackson (Massillon) (4-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (16%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
14.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 4-6), 16% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.90 (14.90-28.15) 100% in, 73% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Whitehall-Yearling (4-2) 16%
Lose: 14.85 ( 9.50-24.85) 78% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 7W: 21.70 (19.10-25.35) 100% in, 93% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Hamilton Township (4-2) 19%
(30%) 6W: 17.70 (14.65-22.85) 99% in, 20% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 24%
(40%) 5W: 14.15 (11.70-18.55) 81% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), New Albany (5-1) 23%
(19%) 4W: 11.80 ( 9.50-15.35) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), New Albany (5-1) 35%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) LWWW: 21.50 (19.10-24.85) 100% in, 92% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Hamilton Township (4-2) 19%
( 1%) LLWW: 19.20 (17.45-21.70) 100% in, 55% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
( 6%) LWLW: 17.85 (15.35-20.30) 99% in, 17% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 20%
(22%) LWWL: 17.55 (14.65-20.75) 99% in, 19% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Hamilton Township (4-2) 24%
( 2%) LLLW: 15.60 (13.80-18.35) 94% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 21%
( 7%) LLWL: 15.40 (13.05-18.50) 97% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 24%
(31%) LWLL: 14.00 (11.70-17.10) 76% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), New Albany (5-1) 26%
(19%) LLLL: 11.80 ( 9.50-15.35) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), New Albany (5-1) 35%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 136.3, #117, D2 #32), 79% (bubble if 4-6), 16% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 137.8, #101, D2 #28), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 135.2, #115, D2 #33), 41% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 137.2, #102, D2 #28), 60% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 141.2, #87, D2 #26), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 44% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 147.7, #65, D2 #23), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 146.6, #70, D2 #20), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 44% home (maybe if 7-3), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 150.3