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Rankings
#8 of 79 in Division 1
#2 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #37 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D1 (+171 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-0 H #115 Warren G Harding (4-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 184
08/28 L 22-8 A #5 St Edward (6-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 13 (26%), perf. rating 164
09/04 W 53-7 H #410 Sandusky (0-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 154
09/11 W 48-14 A #237 GlenOak (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 170
09/18 W 32-0 H #194 Perry (Massillon) (2-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 170
09/25 W 35-0 A #88 Green (Uniontown) (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 195
10/02 W 35-7 H #117 Hoover (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 176
10/09 A #103 Lake (Uniontown) (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/16 H #52 Jackson (Massillon) (5-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/24 A #7 Massillon Washington (6-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
25.00 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#4 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 98% home, 57% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.00 (18.84-31.93) 100% in, 99% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 59%
Lose: 21.14 (14.52-27.40) 100% in, 83% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Brunswick (5-2) 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
(18%) 9W: 30.04 (28.36-31.93) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(71%) 8W: 25.00 (23.78-27.40) 100% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 55%
(11%) 7W: 20.47 (18.84-22.97) 100% in, 91% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Brunswick (5-2) 35%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(18%) WWW: 30.04 (28.36-31.93) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(70%) WWL: 25.00 (23.78-27.25) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 56%
( 3%) LWL: 21.19 (19.45-22.97) 100% in, 96% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Brunswick (5-2) 38%
( 7%) WLL: 20.07 (18.84-22.26) 100% in, 88% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Berea-Midpark (5-2) 40%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 170.8, #16, D1 #8), appears locked in, 98% home, 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 170.0, #19, D1 #10), appears locked in and likely home, 35% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 165.2, #24, D1 #12), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 165.9, #24, D1 #14), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 39% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 162.5, #34, D1 #18), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 161.0, #37, D1 #18), 98% (bubble if 3-7), 86% home (maybe if 5-5), 47% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 165.3, #27, D1 #13), 98% (bubble if 3-7), 86% home (maybe if 5-5), 54% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 160.0, #30, D1 #15), 94% (bubble if 3-7), 79% home (maybe if 5-5), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 162.9