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Rankings
#85 of 107 in Division 6
#17 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #59 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D6 (-544 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 20-0 A #571 McClain (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 40
08/29 L 37-7 A #402 Dawson-Bryant (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 35 (4%), perf. rating 53
09/12 W 33-7 H #670 Southeastern (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 73
09/19 H #622 Paint Valley (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/26 H #164 Unioto (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/03 A #434 Westfall (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/10 A #452 Piketon (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/17 H #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/24 A #251 Zane Trace (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 41 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-7 record
2.11 Harbin points (divisor 90)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
6% (likely needs 4-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.28 ( 2.11-16.17) 9% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Deer Park (4-0) 15%
Lose: 1.22 ( 1.22-13.89) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 4W: 7.17 ( 7.11-10.33) 87% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Deer Park (4-0) 15%
(26%) 3W: 4.28 ( 4.28- 9.11) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 19%
(39%) 2W: 2.11 ( 2.11- 6.72) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(30%) 1W: 1.22 ( 1.22- 2.67) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWLWL: 7.67 ( 7.17- 8.72) 86% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Deer Park (4-0) 16%
( 3%) WLLWWL: 7.17 ( 7.11- 8.78) 85% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Coldwater (2-2) 15%
( 1%) WLLWLL: 4.94 ( 4.50- 5.50) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Deer Park (4-0) 33%
(22%) WLLLWL: 4.28 ( 4.28- 5.83) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 21%
(10%) LLLLWL: 2.94 ( 2.94- 4.89) out
(28%) WLLLLL: 2.11 ( 2.11- 3.72) out
(30%) LLLLLL: 1.22 ( 1.22- 2.67) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-2, 58.0, #611, D6 #85), 6% (likely needs 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 3 (0-2, 48.6, #643, D6 #91), 4% (likely needs 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (0-2, 48.5, #644, D6 #89), 5% (likely needs 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 1 (0-1, 52.3, #629, D6 #89), 13% (bubble if 3-6), 3% home (maybe if 4-5), proj. out at 2-7
Week 0 (0-0, 59.8, #608, D6 #87), 31% (bubble if 4-5), 14% home (maybe if 5-4), 4% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. out at 3-6
Last season 60.1