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Rankings
#98 of 107 in Division 6
#23 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #81 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D6 (-485 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 14-6 H #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 19 (81%), perf. rating 19
08/29 L 23-15 A #590 Notre Dame (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 17 (20%), perf. rating 53
09/05 W 42-6 A #705 Fayetteville (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 58
09/12 L 33-7 A #611 Adena (1-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 21
09/19 A #434 Westfall (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/26 H #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (6%)
10/03 A #452 Piketon (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/10 H #251 Zane Trace (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 H #164 Unioto (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 A #622 Paint Valley (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.13 ( 2.87-10.23) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.70- 9.28) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 4W: 4.07 ( 2.66- 9.28) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(17%) 3W: 2.21 ( 1.10- 6.86) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(80%) 2W: 1.05 ( 0.70- 3.17) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLLLW: 3.42 ( 2.66- 5.19) out
( 4%) LWLLLL: 2.62 ( 1.86- 5.14) out
( 9%) LLLLLW: 1.81 ( 1.10- 3.52) out
(80%) LLLLLL: 1.05 ( 0.70- 3.17) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 36.6, #670, D6 #98), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (2-1, 45.9, #649, D6 #93), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 36.9, #670, D6 #99), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (1-0, 37.6, #673, D6 #98), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 40.0, #669, D6 #98), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 41.3