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Rankings
#50 of 108 in Division 6
#12 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #61 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D6 (-42 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-27 A #372 Newark Catholic (5-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 99
08/28 W 34-7 H #580 Berne Union (4-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 103
09/04 L 28-7 H #251 Portsmouth West (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 28 (6%), perf. rating 82
09/11 W 27-22 A #332 Zane Trace (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 114
09/18 W 48-34 A #468 Piketon (4-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 10 (73%), perf. rating 108
09/25 W 47-24 H #636 Southeastern (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 79
10/02 W 13-12 H #568 Adena (2-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 67
10/09 A #274 Unioto (5-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/16 A #578 Westfall (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #668 Paint Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.93 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#7 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 88% home (likely needs 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.61 (17.50-20.07) 100% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 71%
Lose: 15.93 (13.46-17.14) 100% in, 87% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Deer Park (7-0) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 8W: 19.66 (18.85-20.07) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 72%
(86%) 7W: 15.93 (15.17-19.46) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Deer Park (7-0) 23%
( 7%) 6W: 14.72 (13.46-16.19) 100% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WWW: 19.66 (18.85-20.07) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 72%
(86%) LWW: 15.93 (15.17-17.14) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Deer Park (7-0) 23%
( 6%) LLW: 14.72 (13.46-15.99) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#7-#12), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 91.0, #424, D6 #50), appears locked in, 88% home (likely needs 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 96.1, #389, D6 #46), likely in, 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 97.9, #377, D6 #42), likely in, 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 94.8, #409, D6 #47), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (likely needs 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 84.5, #466, D6 #64), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 82.7, #477, D6 #63), 28% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 73.5, #538, D6 #71), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 76.0, #525, D6 #68), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 85.2