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Rankings
#51 of 102 in Division 3
#10 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #95 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D3 (-151 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 35-21 H #197 Jackson (5-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 13 (28%), perf. rating 142
08/28 W 33-14 H #277 Athens (7-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (89%), perf. rating 139
09/04 L 31-27 A #387 Waverly (4-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 92
09/11 W 49-12 H #642 Southeastern (4-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 98
09/18 W 43-7 A #580 Westfall (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 120
09/25 W 39-0 H #552 Adena (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 127
10/02 L 22-21 A #464 Piketon (5-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 86
10/09 W 42-14 H #424 Huntington (5-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 22 (93%), perf. rating 130
10/16 H #667 Paint Valley (0-8) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #311 Zane Trace (7-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
21.33 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 60% home (likely needs 8-2), 8% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.92 (16.08-22.79) 100% in, 60% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#12), Northwest (Cincy) (7-1) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
(59%) 8W: 21.33 (19.91-22.79) 100% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Northwest (Cincy) (7-1) 28%
(41%) 7W: 17.44 (16.08-21.53) 100% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-#12), Goshen (8-0) 35%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(59%) WW: 21.33 (19.91-22.79) 100% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Northwest (Cincy) (7-1) 28%
(40%) WL: 17.44 (16.08-18.91) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Goshen (8-0) 35%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 112.2, #274, D3 #53), likely in, 65% home (likely needs 8-2), 10% bye, proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 119.2, #224, D3 #39), appears locked in and likely home, 64% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 119.6, #222, D3 #37), appears locked in and likely home, 73% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 122.1, #202, D3 #33), appears locked in and likely home, 76% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 122.8, #198, D3 #34), appears locked in and likely home, 53% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 135.9, #116, D3 #15), appears locked in and likely home, 80% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 134.1, #127, D3 #16), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 122.7, #193, D3 #34), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 81% home (maybe if 7-3), 40% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 127.1