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Rankings
#19 of 105 in Division 4
#4 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #103 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D4 (+18 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-0 A #468 Portsmouth (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 147
08/29 W 48-8 A #627 Vinton County (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 117
09/05 W 49-6 H #511 Waverly (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 139
09/12 W 49-7 A #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 130
09/19 H #452 Piketon (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/26 A #611 Adena (1-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/03 H #251 Zane Trace (3-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/10 A #622 Paint Valley (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/17 A #670 Southeastern (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 H #434 Westfall (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
22.43 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 68% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.08 (11.13-25.21) 99% in, 99% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 68%
Lose: 18.49 (11.64-22.23) 99% in, 82% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#3-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(79%) 10W: 22.43 (19.20-25.21) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 81%
(19%) 9W: 18.75 (15.31-23.19) 100% in, 99% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 20%
( 2%) 8W: 15.92 (11.78-21.73) 99% in, 64% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Heath (1-3) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(79%) WWWWWW: 22.43 (19.20-25.21) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 81%
( 2%) WWWWWL: 18.95 (16.22-21.27) 100% in, 98% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#10), bye 27%
(15%) WWLWWW: 18.39 (15.31-21.12) 100% in, 98% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#11), bye 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 129.1, #164, D4 #19), likely in and likely home, 68% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 134.8, #131, D4 #16), likely in and likely home, 87% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 135.2, #124, D4 #15), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 8-2), 77% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 133.6, #132, D4 #12), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 8-2), 72% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 110.1, #274, D4 #41), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 42% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 111.6