Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#26 of 106 in Division 5
#7 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #84 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D5 (-35 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 48-0 A #470 Logan Elm (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 17 (22%), perf. rating 147
08/29 W 49-13 H #511 Waverly (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 130
09/05 L 25-7 H #259 Amanda-Clearcreek (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 22 (89%), perf. rating 86
09/12 W 42-6 A #452 Piketon (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 141
09/19 A #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/26 H #434 Westfall (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (94%)
10/03 A #164 Unioto (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/10 A #670 Southeastern (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/17 H #622 Paint Valley (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/24 H #611 Adena (1-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.27 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 65% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.57 ( 9.17-21.83) 99% in, 66% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Valley (4-0) 16%
Lose: 12.47 ( 6.95-18.70) 78% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(16%) 9W: 19.86 (17.53-21.83) 100% in, 99% home, 17% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 17%
(75%) 8W: 15.27 (12.99-19.76) 99% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Harvest Prep (2-2) 17%
( 9%) 7W: 12.54 ( 9.92-15.93) 89% in, 12% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Harvest Prep (2-2) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(16%) WWWWWW: 19.86 (17.53-21.83) 100% in, 99% home, 17% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 17%
(74%) WWLWWW: 15.27 (12.99-18.10) 99% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Harvest Prep (2-2) 17%
( 5%) WLLWWW: 12.09 ( 9.92-14.16) 84% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 115.5, #251, D5 #26), likely in, 65% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 110.4, #282, D5 #28), 91% (bubble if 7-3), 56% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye, proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 122.7, #202, D5 #20), 97% (bubble if 7-3), 79% home (maybe if 8-2), 27% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 119.1, #216, D5 #21), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 77% home (maybe if 8-2), 34% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 92.2, #431, D5 #57), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 25% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 90.2