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Rankings
#37 of 108 in Division 6
#10 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #72 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #44 in D6 (-46 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 46-27 H #475 Logan Elm (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 110
08/28 W 27-7 A #412 Waverly (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 28 (92%), perf. rating 125
09/04 W 21-14 A #446 Amanda-Clearcreek (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 100
09/11 L 27-22 H #424 Huntington (5-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 82
09/18 W 41-0 A #568 Adena (2-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 130
09/25 W 48-27 H #468 Piketon (4-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 114
10/02 W 61-15 A #668 Paint Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 46 (99%), perf. rating 98
10/09 A #578 Westfall (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/16 H #636 Southeastern (4-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/23 H #274 Unioto (5-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.27 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.72 (12.49-21.02) 100% in, 58% home, 22% bye, proj. #8 (#1-#12), bye 22%
Lose: 14.06 (10.88-18.25) 100% in, 21% home, 3% bye, proj. #11 (#3-#12), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
(35%) 9W: 18.95 (18.04-21.02) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 62%
(63%) 8W: 15.27 (14.01-18.25) 100% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-#12), Versailles (4-3) 22%
( 2%) 7W: 13.61 (12.49-15.17) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-#12), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 33%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(35%) WWW: 18.95 (18.04-21.02) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 62%
(62%) WWL: 15.27 (14.01-17.29) 100% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-#12), Versailles (4-3) 22%
( 1%) LWL: 13.66 (12.75-15.17) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-#12), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) 36%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 105.0, #332, D6 #37), appears locked in, 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 105.7, #324, D6 #36), likely in, 48% home (maybe if 8-2), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 105.9, #318, D6 #32), likely in, 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 102.0, #346, D6 #36), 97% (bubble if 6-4), 59% home (maybe if 8-2), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 111.5, #284, D6 #27), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 111.1, #284, D6 #25), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 111.1, #277, D6 #24), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 108.6, #289, D6 #25), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 115.5