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Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#93 of 106 in Division 5
#24 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #101 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D5 (-310 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 18-15 H #587 Miller (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 57
08/29 W 47-0 A #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 22 (87%), perf. rating 74
09/05 W 49-6 A #697 Belpre (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 82
09/12 L 71-0 A #250 Athens (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 55
09/19 H #653 Wellston (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/26 H #627 Vinton County (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/03 A #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/10 H #248 Nelsonville-York (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/17 H #470 Logan Elm (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/24 A #577 Meigs (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
5.48 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.74 ( 2.36-13.35) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 3.12 ( 1.46-10.63) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 7W: 8.25 ( 7.04-12.80) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(22%) 6W: 7.35 ( 5.12-11.19) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(36%) 5W: 5.48 ( 3.77- 9.22) out, proj. out
(26%) 4W: 4.02 ( 2.86- 7.26) out, proj. out
( 9%) 3W: 2.72 ( 1.91- 5.90) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 1.81 ( 1.46- 2.57) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WWWLWW: 8.20 ( 7.04-10.07) out
(16%) WWWLLW: 7.65 ( 6.24- 9.22) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 100%
( 4%) WWWLWL: 6.24 ( 5.18- 7.70) out
( 5%) WLWLLW: 6.19 ( 5.13- 7.86) out
(28%) WWWLLL: 5.43 ( 4.32- 7.25) out
(19%) WLWLLL: 3.97 ( 3.27- 6.09) out
( 6%) LLWLLL: 2.61 ( 1.91- 3.88) out
( 1%) LLLLLL: 1.81 ( 1.46- 2.57) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 59.1, #608, D5 #93), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 63.2, #595, D5 #90), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 58.1, #609, D5 #92), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 50.2, #639, D5 #98), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 45.3, #658, D5 #103), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 47.2