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Rankings
#97 of 101 in Division 4
#25 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #97 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #50 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #631 Miller (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 H #699 Federal Hocking (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 40 (98%)
09/04 H #472 Crooksville (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 28 (6%)
09/11 H #300 Athens (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/18 A #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 7 (67%)
09/25 A #601 Vinton County (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/02 H #684 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/09 A #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/16 A #271 Fairfield Union (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/23 H #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.10 ( 0.70-23.20) 10% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
Lose: 2.80 ( 0.00-19.70) 1% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 14.05 ( 9.35-20.15) 86% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Union Local (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 7W: 10.95 ( 5.55-16.05) 42% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 6W: 8.70 ( 4.55-14.65) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 11%
(16%) 5W: 6.60 ( 3.10-12.40) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(21%) 4W: 4.70 ( 2.05- 9.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(22%) 3W: 3.05 ( 1.15- 7.70) out, proj. out
(17%) 2W: 1.65 ( 0.70- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 8%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.70) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 9%
Indian Creek (0-0) 8%
Union Local (0-0) 7%
Bishop Ready (0-0) 6%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 100.5, #364, D4 #53), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 52.0