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Rankings
#99 of 105 in Division 5
#26 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #96 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 6 (39%)
08/28 H #475 Piketon (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 33 (5%)
09/04 H #595 South Point (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 19 (14%)
09/11 A #588 Trimble (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 24 (8%)
09/18 H #636 Alexander (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 A #684 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/02 H #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/09 A #300 Athens (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/16 A #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 H #601 Vinton County (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 19 (11%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.60 ( 0.40-23.45) 9% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
Lose: 1.35 ( 0.00-20.90) 1% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 13.98 ( 8.90-19.75) 93% in, 45% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 12%
( 2%) 7W: 11.25 ( 7.90-16.75) 60% in, 8% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 6W: 8.95 ( 4.85-14.95) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 5W: 6.95 ( 3.75-13.60) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(11%) 4W: 5.20 ( 2.45-10.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(16%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.30- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(20%) 2W: 2.15 ( 0.80- 7.50) out, proj. out
(21%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.35- 5.05) out, proj. out
(15%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 8%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 7%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 61.5, #601, D5 #92), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 34.5