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Rankings
#92 of 105 in Division 5
#23 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #91 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #361 Waterford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 31 (8%)
08/28 A #594 Paint Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/04 H #588 Trimble (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 7 (34%)
09/18 A #300 Athens (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 H #636 Alexander (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/02 A #454 Northwest (McDermott) (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 A #684 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 H #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 A #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.65 ( 1.45-27.90) 59% in, 27% home, 7% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 5.50 ( 0.00-25.15) 16% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 19.40 (13.45-25.15) 100% in, 97% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 39%
( 3%) 8W: 15.85 (10.55-21.95) 99% in, 67% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 7W: 12.80 ( 8.40-19.85) 84% in, 25% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
(13%) 6W: 10.15 ( 6.25-16.55) 44% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
(16%) 5W: 8.00 ( 4.25-13.70) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 12%
(17%) 4W: 6.00 ( 2.55-11.20) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 3W: 4.00 ( 1.50- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(14%) 2W: 2.30 ( 0.80- 6.25) out, proj. out
( 9%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.35- 4.65) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 8%
Ridgewood (0-0) 7%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 7%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 20%
Ironton (0-0) 15%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 10%
Fort Frye (0-0) 8%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 88.5, #447, D5 #63), 23% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 58.2