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Rankings
#102 of 105 in Division 5
#27 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #100 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #71 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #663 Berne Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 12 (28%)
08/28 A #568 South Gallia (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 34 (4%)
09/04 H #653 Oak Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 17 (17%)
09/11 H #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/18 A #553 Meigs (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 H #662 Wellston (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/02 A #636 Alexander (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 H #601 Vinton County (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 A #300 Athens (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 H #697 Fayetteville (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.76 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.52 ( 0.40-21.17) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 11%
Lose: 1.16 ( 0.00-16.68) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 12.06 ( 9.11-17.94) 76% in, 17% home, proj. #11 (#5-out)
( 1%) 7W: 9.62 ( 6.54-15.73) 33% in, 4% home, proj. out (#6-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 12%
( 3%) 6W: 7.55 ( 4.67-13.91) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 6%) 5W: 5.84 ( 3.01-12.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(10%) 4W: 4.28 ( 1.65-11.34) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(16%) 3W: 2.92 ( 1.20- 8.67) out, proj. out
(22%) 2W: 1.76 ( 0.80- 6.66) out, proj. out
(27%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.40- 4.69) out, proj. out
(14%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Grove City Christian (0-0) 10%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 8%
Fairland (0-0) 8%
Portsmouth (0-0) 8%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 118.7, #215, D5 #22), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 29.1