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Rankings
#17 of 107 in Division 6
#3 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #88 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D6 (+50 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-6 H #552 Trimble (1-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 38 (96%), perf. rating 120
08/28 W 48-6 H #557 Logan (0-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 32 (95%), perf. rating 131
09/04 A #479 Dawson-Bryant (0-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 29 (95%)
09/11 A #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 A #300 Waterford (2-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 8 (69%)
09/25 H #580 Meigs (1-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/02 A #620 Wellston (1-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/09 H #594 Alexander (2-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/16 A #560 Vinton County (1-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/23 H #299 Athens (1-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
5.77 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.34 ( 3.42- 6.96) 99% in, 99% home, 94% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 94%
Lose: 5.06 ( 2.74- 6.06) 99% in, 92% home, 62% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 62%
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 10W: 6.54 ( 6.14- 6.96) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(32%) 9W: 5.77 ( 5.29- 6.29) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(15%) 8W: 4.93 ( 4.64- 5.44) 100% in, 99% home, 76% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 76%
( 3%) 7W: 4.26 ( 3.93- 4.62) 100% in, 92% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Newark Catholic (2-0) 11%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WWWWWWWW: 6.54 ( 6.14- 6.96) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(18%) WWLWWWWW: 5.84 ( 5.54- 6.25) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(11%) WWWWWWWL: 5.61 ( 5.29- 6.03) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(11%) WWLWWWWL: 4.89 ( 4.64- 5.24) 100% in, 99% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 70%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (2-0, 119.0, #229, D6 #17), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 7-3), 83% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 113.4, #260, D6 #19), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 83% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 113.7, #256, D6 #20), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 119.7