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Rankings
#50 of 102 in Division 3
#18 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #23 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D3 (-154 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 36-34 H #256 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 116
08/28 L 40-13 A #79 Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 104
09/04 L 24-14 H #285 Tallmadge (4-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 18 (84%), perf. rating 95
09/10 L 40-0 A #85 Mayfield (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 22 (10%), perf. rating 83
09/18 W 28-7 H #335 Twinsburg (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 4 (60%), perf. rating 134
09/25 L 24-14 A #246 Revere (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 103
10/02 L 21-8 A #177 Kenston (4-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 14 (18%), perf. rating 109
10/09 W 27-21 H #174 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (4-4) D2 R5, pick: L by 18 (12%), perf. rating 133
10/16 A #374 Barberton (2-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #163 Copley (6-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.95 ( 8.40-14.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 7.10 ( 6.55-12.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 5W: 12.95 (12.40-14.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(63%) 4W: 8.95 ( 8.40-12.35) out, proj. out
(15%) 3W: 7.10 ( 6.55- 8.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WW: 12.95 (12.40-14.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Garfield Heights (6-2) 18%
( 3%) LW: 11.10 (10.55-12.35) out
(61%) WL: 8.95 ( 8.40-10.70) out
(15%) LL: 7.10 ( 6.55- 8.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 111.3, #283, D3 #56), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 111.7, #281, D3 #56), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 112.2, #278, D3 #52), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 109.8, #298, D3 #56), 7% (likely needs 6-4), 2% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 113.6, #267, D3 #49), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 123.8, #190, D3 #33), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 131.5, #141, D3 #21), 64% (bubble if 6-4), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 140.9, #91, D3 #11), 73% (bubble if 6-4), 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 39% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 137.3