Region 6 home page
Region 6 projections
Region 6 playoff probabilities
Region 6 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 6 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#46 of 104 in Division 2
#12 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #23 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D2 (-82 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 21-17 A #134 Aurora (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 143
08/29 W 14-7 A #360 Tallmadge (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 114
09/05 L 48-34 H #101 Berea-Midpark (3-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 118
09/12 L 23-13 H #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 25 (7%), perf. rating 133
09/19 H #204 North Royalton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 6 (65%)
09/26 A #19 Wadsworth (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/03 H #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/10 A #36 Hudson (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/17 H #252 Solon (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/24 A #121 Twinsburg (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
12.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
53% (bubble if 4-6), 15% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.95 ( 5.70-29.15) 70% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 15%
Lose: 9.25 ( 4.50-25.00) 20% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 7W: 21.95 (18.90-25.00) 100% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), bye 18%
(16%) 6W: 17.10 (14.15-22.55) 99% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 19%
(34%) 5W: 12.95 ( 9.95-18.80) 84% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 18%
(27%) 4W: 10.50 ( 7.50-15.40) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 26%
(15%) 3W: 8.60 ( 5.20-12.25) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 2W: 6.80 ( 4.50- 8.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWWWW: 21.85 (18.90-24.20) 100% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rhodes (3-1) 13%
(14%) WLWLWW: 17.05 (14.15-20.00) 99% in, 65% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), St Francis (Toledo) (3-1) 19%
(26%) WLWLWL: 12.90 ( 9.95-15.35) 80% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 20%
(10%) LLWLWL: 10.50 ( 7.60-12.85) 19% in, proj. out (#9-out), Fremont Ross (2-2) 27%
( 7%) WLWLLL: 10.50 ( 7.50-13.40) 28% in, proj. out (#9-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 29%
( 7%) WLLLWL: 10.20 ( 7.60-13.50) 16% in, proj. out (#9-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 26%
( 6%) LLWLLL: 8.60 ( 6.30-11.00) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), Anthony Wayne (3-1) 27%
( 6%) LLLLLL: 6.80 ( 4.50- 8.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 125.7, #182, D2 #46), 53% (bubble if 4-6), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 125.6, #185, D2 #45), 51% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 134.9, #126, D2 #34), 78% (bubble if 4-6), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 135.1, #126, D2 #32), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 122.3, #197, D2 #46), 25% (bubble if 5-5), 14% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 118.9