Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#44 of 100 in Division 2
#12 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #46 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D2 (-201 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 16-7 H #194 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (4-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 135
08/28 L 10-6 A #198 North Royalton (3-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 120
09/04 L 26-13 A #95 Berea-Midpark (5-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 9 (69%), perf. rating 122
09/11 W 25-12 A #374 Barberton (2-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 120
09/18 W 20-0 H #177 Kenston (4-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 154
09/25 L 21-7 H #85 Mayfield (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 7 (33%), perf. rating 118
10/02 W 26-21 H #163 Copley (6-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 4 (60%), perf. rating 133
10/09 L 27-21 A #260 Aurora (3-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 18 (88%), perf. rating 108
10/16 A #335 Twinsburg (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 H #246 Revere (5-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
19.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 5% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.50 (13.30-20.80) 100% in, 6% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 49%
Lose: 17.30 (12.65-19.00) 100% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 38%
Based on eventual number of wins
(73%) 6W: 19.05 (17.35-20.80) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #9 (#6-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 54%
(24%) 5W: 15.55 (13.30-19.00) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 34%
( 3%) 4W: 13.80 (12.65-15.50) 100% in, proj. #11 (#9-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 38%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(73%) WW: 19.05 (17.35-20.80) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #9 (#6-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 54%
( 6%) LW: 17.85 (16.20-19.00) 100% in, 3% home, proj. #9 (#8-#10), Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) 52%
(18%) WL: 15.00 (13.30-16.75) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #10 (#8-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 35%
( 3%) LL: 13.80 (12.65-15.50) 100% in, proj. #11 (#9-#12), Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) 38%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 131.1, #145, D2 #37), likely in, 56% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 6 (3-3, 131.8, #141, D2 #39), likely in, 38% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 133.7, #126, D2 #33), likely in, 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 131.2, #141, D2 #41), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 132.2, #135, D2 #39), 85% (bubble if 4-6), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 143.5, #80, D2 #25), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 56% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 146.4, #68, D2 #24), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 63% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 130.8, #144, D2 #42), 58% (bubble if 4-6), 40% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 135.5