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Rankings
#71 of 107 in Division 3
#21 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #33 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D3 (-348 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 23-6 A #466 Ellet (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 32 (93%), perf. rating 111
08/29 L 14-7 H #182 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 113
09/05 L 42-7 H #83 Green (Uniontown) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 90
09/12 L 49-7 A #159 Copley (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 6 (36%), perf. rating 69
09/19 H #429 Barberton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/26 A #5 Highland (Medina) (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 A #181 Revere (3-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/10 H #134 Aurora (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/17 A #602 Cuyahoga Falls (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/24 H #343 Kent Roosevelt (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.18 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.90 ( 2.26-20.26) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 4.08 ( 1.06-15.58) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 5W: 10.98 ( 9.11-15.58) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(36%) 4W: 7.50 ( 6.24-13.26) out, proj. out
(41%) 3W: 5.18 ( 3.47-10.34) out, proj. out
(15%) 2W: 3.47 ( 2.26- 6.86) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLWLWW: 10.93 ( 9.67-13.81) out
( 3%) WLLWWW: 10.93 ( 9.11-13.00) out
( 2%) WLWLWL: 8.36 ( 6.85-10.68) out
(32%) WLLLWW: 7.50 ( 6.24- 9.83) out
( 7%) LLLLWW: 6.19 ( 4.48- 8.32) out
(33%) WLLLWL: 4.68 ( 3.47- 7.51) out
(14%) LLLLWL: 3.47 ( 2.26- 5.24) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 101.5, #360, D3 #71), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 112.1, #274, D3 #53), 6% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 121.5, #210, D3 #42), 25% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 119.1, #215, D3 #47), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 123.1, #191, D3 #40), 36% (bubble if 7-3), 17% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 126.8