Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#602 Cuyahoga Falls Black Tigers (1-3) 60.1

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#100 of 104 in Division 2
#25 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #76 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D2 (-725 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-0 A #279 South (Willoughby) (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 33 (7%), perf. rating 63
08/29 W 33-12 H #629 North (Akron) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 84
09/05 L 29-8 A #562 Southeast (2-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 8 (67%), perf. rating 40
09/12 L 35-6 H #429 Barberton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 46
09/19 A #343 Kent Roosevelt (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/26 A #181 Revere (3-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/03 H #134 Aurora (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/10 H #159 Copley (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/17 H #360 Tallmadge (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/24 A #5 Highland (Medina) (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 49 (1%)

Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R5 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention

Depending on the next game
Lose: 1.00 ( 1.00-10.23) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 2W: 4.33 ( 2.11- 8.02) out, proj. out
(93%) 1W: 1.00 ( 1.00- 3.28) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLL: 4.96 ( 3.32- 6.81) out
( 2%) LLLLWL: 2.72 ( 2.11- 4.43) out
(93%) LLLLLL: 1.00 ( 1.00- 3.28) out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 60.1, #602, D2 #100), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (1-2, 60.8, #602, D2 #99), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (1-1, 72.1, #551, D2 #93), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 67.5, #575, D2 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 69.2, #562, D2 #96), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 67.1