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Region 5 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#89 of 100 in Division 2
#22 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #73 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D2 (-392 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 34-0 H #90 South (Willoughby) (8-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 37 (4%), perf. rating 88
08/28 W 50-0 H #673 North (Akron) (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 94
09/04 W 28-21 A #547 Southeast (3-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 15 (80%), perf. rating 83
09/11 L 51-7 A #209 Cloverleaf (7-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 61
09/18 L by forfeit A #546 Field (2-6) D4 R13 (no game)
09/25 W 50-3 H #664 Springfield (Akron) (0-8) D4 R13, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 97
10/02 L 56-7 A #152 Norton (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 69
10/09 L 47-36 H #454 Ravenna (4-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 68
10/16 H #294 Kent Roosevelt (4-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 A #199 Woodridge (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 37 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.45 ( 6.00-11.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 3.25 ( 3.25- 8.85) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 6.85 ( 6.00- 8.85) out, proj. out
(96%) 3W: 3.25 ( 3.25- 4.85) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WL: 6.45 ( 6.00- 7.45) out
(96%) LL: 3.25 ( 3.25- 4.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 78.4, #510, D2 #86), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 78.5, #505, D2 #84), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 74.7, #529, D2 #89), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 72.0, #542, D2 #91), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 75.2, #536, D2 #91), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 75.3, #528, D2 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 65.6, #578, D2 #94), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 65.7, #579, D2 #94), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 66.0