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Rankings
#68 of 107 in Division 3
#20 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #51 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #65 in D3 (-330 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-14 A #485 Ravenna (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 114
08/29 L 42-7 H #175 Streetsboro (3-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 73
09/05 W 40-20 H #466 Ellet (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 15 (80%), perf. rating 111
09/12 L 28-16 H #181 Revere (3-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 22 (10%), perf. rating 106
09/19 H #602 Cuyahoga Falls (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/26 A #429 Barberton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/03 A #159 Copley (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/10 H #5 Highland (Medina) (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 A #134 Aurora (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/24 A #360 Tallmadge (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.22 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.26 ( 3.77-19.96) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 6W: 13.05 (10.17-17.09) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(38%) 5W: 9.52 ( 7.24-15.38) out, proj. out
(40%) 4W: 7.22 ( 4.47-13.01) out, proj. out
(15%) 3W: 5.89 ( 3.77- 8.77) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWLLW: 13.10 (10.72-16.28) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Alliance (3-1) 30%
( 2%) WWLLWW: 12.90 (10.17-15.22) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out), Gilmour Academy (1-3) 33%
( 1%) WWWLLL: 10.83 ( 9.06-13.46) out
( 1%) WWLLWL: 10.12 ( 8.36-12.29) out
(34%) WWLLLW: 9.47 ( 7.24-12.09) out
( 9%) WLLLLW: 7.76 ( 5.48-10.28) out
(30%) WWLLLL: 7.20 ( 4.47- 9.93) out
(15%) WLLLLL: 5.89 ( 3.77- 8.77) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 103.7, #343, D3 #68), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 102.5, #363, D3 #72), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 102.5, #340, D3 #65), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 107.5, #308, D3 #64), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye, proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 97.3, #381, D3 #74), 9% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 98.5