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Rankings
#64 of 102 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #81 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D3 (-202 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 22-19 A #372 Twinsburg (0-6) D2 R5, pick: L by 24 (14%), perf. rating 106
08/28 L 34-13 H #110 South (Willoughby) (6-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 104
09/04 W 29-7 A #537 Ellet (1-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 108
09/11 L 31-21 A #275 Tallmadge (4-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 11 (26%), perf. rating 99
09/18 L 41-24 H #179 Streetsboro (4-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 19 (12%), perf. rating 98
09/25 W 60-0 H #543 Field (2-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 133
10/02 A #670 Springfield (Akron) (0-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/09 H #135 Norton (5-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/16 A #505 Cuyahoga Falls (3-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 H #444 Ravenna (3-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 7-3), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.20 ( 4.35-17.40) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out), Glenville (4-2) 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 7W: 14.90 (13.70-17.40) 30% in, proj. out (#9-out), Glenville (4-2) 23%
(77%) 6W: 10.25 ( 9.00-14.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(16%) 5W: 7.70 ( 6.40-11.00) out, proj. out
( 2%) 4W: 5.55 ( 4.35- 8.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WWWW: 14.90 (13.70-17.40) 30% in, proj. out (#9-out), Glenville (4-2) 23%
(77%) WLWW: 10.25 ( 9.00-12.60) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Glenville (4-2) 100%
(10%) WLWL: 7.70 ( 6.50- 9.45) out
( 5%) WLLW: 7.60 ( 6.40- 9.85) out
( 1%) WLLL: 5.55 ( 4.35- 6.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 105.7, #325, D3 #64), 2% (bubble if 7-3), no home game, proj. out at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 104.8, #325, D3 #66), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 107.2, #313, D3 #61), 22% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 106.9, #314, D3 #62), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 106.4, #317, D3 #65), 32% (bubble if 7-3), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 115.7, #244, D3 #47), 65% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 8-2), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 105.4, #314, D3 #58), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 108.4