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Rankings
#5 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #12 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #4 Walsh Jesuit (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 A #92 Strongsville (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 30 (93%)
09/04 H #81 Avon Lake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (95%)
09/11 H #76 Nordonia (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (96%)
09/18 A #234 Medina (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/25 A #270 Stow-Munroe Falls (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/02 A #149 North Royalton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/09 H #280 Solon (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/16 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 A #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
31.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#1 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 4-6), 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 32.87 ( 4.28-43.47) 99% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 92%
Lose: 25.05 ( 0.00-38.28) 94% in, 83% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 59%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 10W: 35.24 (25.59-43.47) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(28%) 9W: 31.05 (22.01-39.99) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(20%) 8W: 25.91 (17.58-37.22) 100% in, 99% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 75%
(12%) 7W: 21.47 (13.84-30.61) 99% in, 94% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 27%
( 7%) 6W: 17.18 (10.11-25.11) 98% in, 61% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 5W: 13.30 ( 8.66-21.13) 77% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Glenville (0-0) 9%
( 2%) 4W: 9.57 ( 5.18-17.50) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Twinsburg (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 3W: 6.95 ( 3.77-12.00) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Boardman (0-0) 2%
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 2%
Brush (0-0) 2%
Twinsburg (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 12%
Glenville (0-0) 12%
Walsh Jesuit (0-0) 9%
Wadsworth (0-0) 8%
Nordonia (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 173.0, #14, D2 #9), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 40% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 179.7