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Rankings
#75 of 100 in Division 2
#19 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #48 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #462 Firestone (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 A #270 Stow-Munroe Falls (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 17 (20%)
09/04 H #389 Elyria (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/11 H #144 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/18 A #216 Mayfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #164 Copley (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A #154 Twinsburg (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #190 Revere (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 H #91 Aurora (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/23 A #148 Kenston (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.40 ( 0.60-34.30) 18% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 0.65 ( 0.00-27.65) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 28.65 (24.85-34.30) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
( 1%) 9W: 24.35 (18.20-29.90) 100% in, 99% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 50%
( 2%) 8W: 20.10 (14.25-28.55) 99% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 12%
( 4%) 7W: 16.40 ( 9.45-24.40) 93% in, 43% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Glenville (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 6W: 13.00 ( 7.05-21.95) 66% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Glenville (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 5W: 9.95 ( 5.25-17.40) 29% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Glenville (0-0) 12%
(11%) 4W: 7.40 ( 2.95-16.30) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Glenville (0-0) 13%
(15%) 3W: 5.25 ( 1.80-12.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(20%) 2W: 3.10 ( 1.15- 9.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(21%) 1W: 1.70 ( 0.55- 5.80) out, proj. out
(12%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Glenville (0-0) 9%
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 8%
Nordonia (0-0) 6%
Twinsburg (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Highland (Medina) (0-0) 15%
Wadsworth (0-0) 14%
Walsh Jesuit (0-0) 13%
Glenville (0-0) 11%
Villa Angela-St Joseph (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.5, #396, D2 #75), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 94.5