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Rankings
#83 of 104 in Division 2
#21 of 27 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #44 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D2 (-357 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 55-7 A #19 Wadsworth (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 36 (5%), perf. rating 109
08/29 L 49-14 H #239 Stow-Munroe Falls (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 63
09/05 L 48-7 H #98 South Range (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 78
09/12 W 35-6 A #602 Cuyahoga Falls (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 105
09/19 A #360 Tallmadge (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 12 (23%)
09/26 H #343 Kent Roosevelt (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/03 A #5 Highland (Medina) (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 H #181 Revere (3-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/17 A #159 Copley (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/24 H #134 Aurora (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.21 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.64 ( 2.87-17.64) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 1.21 ( 1.21-21.18) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 9.17 ( 8.46-15.03) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(11%) 3W: 5.69 ( 5.18-11.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(29%) 2W: 3.42 ( 2.87- 7.61) out, proj. out
(57%) 1W: 1.21 ( 1.21- 2.87) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWLL: 9.07 ( 9.02-11.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Olmsted Falls (3-1) 100%
( 8%) WWLLLL: 5.69 ( 5.64- 6.85) out
( 2%) LLLWLL: 4.58 ( 3.98- 5.80) out
( 1%) LLLLLW: 4.58 ( 2.92- 5.70) out
(14%) LWLLLL: 3.42 ( 3.37- 5.64) out
(11%) WLLLLL: 2.92 ( 2.87- 4.63) out
(57%) LLLLLL: 1.21 ( 1.21- 2.87) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 91.1, #429, D2 #83), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 87.1, #446, D2 #84), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 92.1, #422, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 108.4, #300, D2 #68), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 111.7, #262, D2 #57), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 104.4