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Rankings
#87 of 104 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #48 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #276 Elyria Catholic (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 28 (10%)
08/28 H #213 Hawken (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (7%)
09/04 H #117 Benedictine (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (2%)
09/10 A #456 Orange (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 9 (30%)
09/18 A #341 Harvey (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #321 North (Eastlake) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/02 H #105 Chardon (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/09 A #556 Lakeside (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 H #218 Madison (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/23 A #219 South (Willoughby) (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.67 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.49 ( 0.55-29.34) 34% in, 16% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 1.76 ( 0.00-26.97) 7% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Buchtel (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 18.79 (12.23-25.92) 100% in, 95% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 40%
( 1%) 7W: 16.27 ( 9.86-23.90) 99% in, 78% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 13%
( 3%) 6W: 13.12 ( 7.19-19.11) 91% in, 44% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Cloverleaf (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 5W: 10.02 ( 4.92-17.65) 59% in, 10% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Buchtel (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 4W: 7.20 ( 2.71-15.69) 19% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Buchtel (0-0) 9%
(15%) 3W: 4.78 ( 1.60-11.70) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Lexington (0-0) 11%
(21%) 2W: 2.67 ( 1.05- 8.93) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(25%) 1W: 1.01 ( 0.50- 5.70) out, proj. out
(20%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Buchtel (0-0) 7%
Ontario (0-0) 7%
Maumee (0-0) 7%
Cloverleaf (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wapakoneta (0-0) 17%
Lexington (0-0) 12%
Ontario (0-0) 9%
Copley (0-0) 9%
St Marys Memorial (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 138.6, #103, D3 #13), 84% (bubble if 4-6), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 45% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 7-3
Last season 74.2