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Rankings
#56 of 104 in Division 2
#15 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #34 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D2 (-318 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-13 H #141 Medina (2-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 12 (28%), perf. rating 119
08/29 W 49-14 A #429 Barberton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 145
09/04 W 44-8 H #669 John F Kennedy (Cle.) (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 89
09/12 L 45-21 H #121 Twinsburg (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 100
09/19 H #36 Hudson (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/26 A #252 Solon (1-3) D1 R1, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/03 A #182 Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (2-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/10 H #204 North Royalton (1-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/17 A #19 Wadsworth (4-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/24 A #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.80 ( 6.00-24.75) 44% in, 8% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 4.70 ( 1.80-19.80) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 6W: 13.75 (11.95-19.05) 88% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 18%
(11%) 5W: 9.25 ( 7.75-15.55) 13% in, proj. out (#9-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 22%
(25%) 4W: 6.50 ( 4.85-13.85) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(33%) 3W: 4.20 ( 3.00-10.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(28%) 2W: 2.90 ( 1.80- 5.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWWWLW: 13.20 (11.95-16.65) 84% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Twinsburg (4-0) 18%
( 9%) LWWWLL: 8.95 ( 7.75-11.85) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Austintown-Fitch (3-1) 31%
( 5%) LWWLLL: 6.55 ( 5.35- 9.35) out
(14%) LWLWLL: 6.00 ( 4.85-11.15) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Archbishop Hoban (3-1) 100%
( 5%) LLWLLL: 5.15 ( 3.50- 7.50) out
(13%) LLLWLL: 4.20 ( 3.00- 7.05) out
(14%) LWLLLL: 4.15 ( 3.05- 7.60) out
(28%) LLLLLL: 2.90 ( 1.80- 5.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 116.7, #239, D2 #56), 4% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 117.0, #241, D2 #56), 12% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 124.5, #188, D2 #47), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 112.1, #274, D2 #60), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 112.0, #260, D2 #55), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 113.0