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Rankings
#67 of 80 in Division 1
#15 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #38 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #91 Aurora (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 27 (11%)
08/28 H #396 Barberton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 17 (80%)
09/05 N Queens St Francis Prep NY (0-0) D1
09/11 A #234 Medina (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 H #280 Solon (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/25 H #9 Highland (Medina) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/02 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/09 H #76 Nordonia (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 A #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/23 A #149 North Royalton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.66 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
42% (bubble if 3-7), 12% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.56 ( 0.55-35.40) 84% in, 41% home, 8% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 9%
Lose: 5.04 ( 0.00-32.30) 37% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Hudson (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 23.56 (17.01-30.67) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 62%
( 2%) 7W: 18.99 (11.77-27.55) 100% in, 97% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 21%
( 5%) 6W: 14.88 ( 8.96-25.30) 99% in, 73% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 11.12 ( 5.83-19.18) 96% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Strongsville (0-0) 9%
(17%) 4W: 8.17 ( 3.22-16.63) 76% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Hudson (0-0) 10%
(21%) 3W: 5.66 ( 2.42-14.63) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
(22%) 2W: 3.78 ( 1.20-10.22) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
(15%) 1W: 1.89 ( 0.55- 6.48) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Hudson (0-0) 9%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Strongsville (0-0) 9%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 8%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 8%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 20%
St Edward (0-0) 16%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 16%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 111.6, #270, D1 #67), 42% (bubble if 3-7), 12% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 111.8