Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#256 Stow-Munroe Falls Bulldogs (2-6) 115.2

Updated Sat 10-Oct-2026 10:44 PM
Week 8 in progress

Region 1 home page
Region 1 projections
Region 1 playoff probabilities
Region 1 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 1 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#61 of 79 in Division 1
#13 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #47 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D1 (-466 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 L 36-34 A #260 Aurora (3-5) D3 R9, pick: L by 27 (11%), perf. rating 114
08/28 W 44-13 H #374 Barberton (2-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 143
09/05 W 35-6 N Queens St Francis Prep NY (2-5) D1
09/11 L 46-40 A #229 Medina (2-6) D1 R1, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 112
09/18 L 24-21 H #284 Solon (3-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 105
09/25 L 42-7 H #27 Highland (Medina) (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 109
10/02 L 35-14 H #29 Wadsworth (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 129
10/09 L 45-14 H #39 Nordonia (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 33 (1%), perf. rating 109
10/16 A #30 Hudson (6-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 A #198 North Royalton (3-5) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (26%)

Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.88 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R1 playoffs

Playoff chances now
4% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)

Depending on the next game
Lose: 3.88 ( 3.88- 8.14) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 39%

Based on eventual number of wins
(25%) 3W: 7.00 ( 6.33- 9.58) 13% in, proj. out (#11-out), Hudson (6-2) 37%
(74%) 2W: 3.88 ( 3.88- 5.01) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(25%) LW: 7.00 ( 6.33- 8.14) 12% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hudson (6-2) 39%
(74%) LL: 3.88 ( 3.88- 5.01) out

Most likely first round opponents
Canton McKinley (7-1) 33%
Hudson (6-2) 33%
Strongsville (5-3) 12%
Jackson (Massillon) (6-2) 10%
St Ignatius (4-4) 7%

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 115.5, #249, D1 #63), 20% (bubble if 3-7), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (2-4, 114.4, #257, D1 #62), 34% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 2-8
Week 5 (2-3, 115.1, #255, D1 #67), 33% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (2-2, 118.0, #235, D1 #63), 59% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 121.0, #212, D1 #57), 64% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 123.7, #191, D1 #55), 51% (bubble if 3-7), 10% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 121.0, #210, D1 #57), 48% (bubble if 3-7), 9% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 111.6, #270, D1 #67), 42% (bubble if 3-7), 13% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% bye, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 111.8