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Rankings
#76 of 105 in Division 5
#20 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #55 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #420 Claymont (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 18 (20%)
08/28 H #597 East Palestine (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 17 (80%)
09/04 H #540 Strasburg-Franklin (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 7 (65%)
09/11 A #291 Union Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/18 H #340 Martins Ferry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 A #128 Barnesville (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/01 A #329 Indian Creek (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/09 H #517 Bellaire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/16 A #378 Edison (Richmond) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #649 Buckeye Local (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
26% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.25 ( 0.50-29.40) 57% in, 29% home, 8% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 5.30 ( 0.00-28.85) 18% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.05 (16.70-28.85) 100% home, 76% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 76%
( 3%) 8W: 18.60 (12.10-25.05) 100% in, 94% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 29%
( 6%) 7W: 15.35 ( 9.10-21.65) 98% in, 63% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Garfield (0-0) 7%
(10%) 6W: 12.38 ( 6.95-18.65) 83% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 9.70 ( 4.50-15.35) 40% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
(17%) 4W: 7.25 ( 2.35-13.15) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Girard (0-0) 11%
(18%) 3W: 5.10 ( 1.55-11.20) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 2W: 3.10 ( 0.80- 7.30) out, proj. out
(11%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.35- 4.45) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Girard (0-0) 7%
Berkshire (0-0) 7%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 17%
Barnesville (0-0) 16%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 136.9, #110, D5 #8), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 79.7