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Rankings
#96 of 106 in Division 5
#25 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #60 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #77 in D5 (-388 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 43-0 A #176 Claymont (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 66
08/28 W 47-14 H #604 East Palestine (4-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (92%), perf. rating 105
09/04 L 54-7 H #471 Strasburg-Franklin (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 9 (31%), perf. rating 20
09/11 L 48-7 A #290 Union Local (6-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 43 (1%), perf. rating 51
09/18 L 49-0 H #189 Martins Ferry (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 60
09/25 L 68-13 A #99 Barnesville (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 79
10/01 L 68-27 A #507 Indian Creek (4-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 8 (30%), perf. rating 20
10/09 H #482 Bellaire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/16 A #474 Edison (Richmond) (2-5) D5 R17, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 H #635 Buckeye Local (0-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.20 ( 4.35- 8.00) out, proj. out
Lose: 2.70 ( 1.85- 5.90) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 3W: 5.10 ( 3.65- 7.05) out, proj. out
(66%) 2W: 2.70 ( 2.30- 5.55) out, proj. out
(27%) 1W: 2.25 ( 1.85- 3.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLW: 5.20 ( 4.80- 6.50) out
( 3%) LWW: 4.60 ( 3.65- 5.90) out
(64%) LLW: 2.70 ( 2.30- 4.00) out
(27%) LLL: 2.25 ( 1.85- 3.05) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 53.8, #621, D5 #96), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 63.7, #584, D5 #90), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 61.6, #592, D5 #92), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 63.0, #585, D5 #88), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 60.4, #596, D5 #88), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 68.4, #567, D5 #84), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 65.1, #585, D5 #87), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 77.1, #515, D5 #76), 25% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.7