Region 11 home page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 11 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#87 of 102 in Division 3
#20 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #95 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D3 (-350 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-21 H #458 KIPP Columbus (1-5) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 93
08/28 L 18-15 A #552 Independence (Cbus) (1-5) D2 R7, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 68
09/04 L 52-18 A #201 Maple Heights (4-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating 74
09/10 W 52-0 H #669 Whetstone (0-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 93
09/17 L 35-6 A #279 Linden McKinley (6-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 24 (7%), perf. rating 71
09/25 W 40-0 H #677 Mifflin (0-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 89
10/01 H #233 East (Columbus) (5-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 H #577 Toledo Christian (3-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/16 A #569 Centennial (1-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 A #470 Northland (3-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
3% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.20 ( 8.05-16.85) 64% in, 19% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Athens (5-1) 16%
Lose: 7.30 ( 2.95-12.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Dover (4-2) 60%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 15.35 (14.90-16.85) 99% in, 42% home, proj. #9 (#7-out), Athens (5-1) 21%
(26%) 6W: 10.70 ( 9.55-14.70) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out), Dover (4-2) 55%
(45%) 5W: 7.30 ( 6.45-12.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(22%) 4W: 5.55 ( 4.65- 8.60) out, proj. out
( 6%) 3W: 3.40 ( 2.95- 4.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWW: 15.35 (14.90-16.85) 99% in, 42% home, proj. #9 (#7-out), Athens (5-1) 21%
(24%) LWWW: 10.70 ( 9.55-12.20) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Dover (4-2) 61%
( 4%) LWLW: 8.95 ( 8.15-10.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Athens (5-1) 50%
( 2%) LLWW: 8.55 ( 8.05- 9.65) out
(38%) LWWL: 7.30 ( 6.45- 9.00) out
(14%) LWLL: 5.55 ( 4.75- 7.10) out
( 7%) LLWL: 5.15 ( 4.65- 6.30) out
( 6%) LLLL: 3.40 ( 2.95- 4.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 79.6, #498, D3 #87), 3% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 77.5, #510, D3 #87), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 80.4, #491, D3 #83), 6% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 79.3, #502, D3 #85), 8% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 84.4, #468, D3 #83), 21% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 84.4, #465, D3 #81), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 75.0, #531, D3 #92), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 73.6