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Rankings
#67 of 107 in Division 3
#15 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #104 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D3 (+10 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 8-6 H #467 Bexley (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 84
08/29 W 43-0 A #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 114
09/05 W 55-18 H #536 Eastmoor Academy (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 8 (67%), perf. rating 127
09/11 W 40-0 A #564 Centennial (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (89%), perf. rating 131
09/19 A #572 Beechcroft (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 29 (97%)
09/26 A #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/03 H #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/09 H #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/17 H #305 Northland (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/24 A #351 East (Columbus) (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 6-4), 52% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.60 ( 9.25-29.55) 97% in, 53% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Athens (4-0) 15%
Lose: 12.40 ( 7.75-27.30) 71% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 26.75 (24.50-29.55) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 78%
(24%) 9W: 22.20 (19.85-27.30) 100% in, 99% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Athens (4-0) 17%
(35%) 8W: 17.65 (15.55-23.25) 100% in, 56% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Athens (4-0) 21%
(31%) 7W: 13.35 (11.60-19.50) 92% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Granville (3-1) 17%
( 3%) 6W: 11.30 ( 9.30-15.45) 56% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWWWWW: 26.75 (24.50-29.55) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 78%
( 3%) WWWWLW: 22.30 (20.60-25.70) 100% in, 99% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Athens (4-0) 17%
(18%) WLWWWW: 22.17 (20.00-26.35) 100% in, 99% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Athens (4-0) 17%
( 3%) WWWWWL: 22.15 (19.85-24.90) 100% in, 99% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 17%
(18%) WLWWLW: 17.75 (15.55-20.70) 100% in, 58% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Athens (4-0) 21%
(14%) WLWWWL: 17.35 (15.60-20.70) 100% in, 51% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Athens (4-0) 21%
(29%) WLWWLL: 13.30 (11.60-16.70) 92% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
( 2%) LLWWLL: 11.25 ( 9.55-13.45) 48% in, proj. out (#10-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 103.8, #341, D3 #67), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 52% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 100.3, #370, D3 #73), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 59% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 89.0, #442, D3 #84), 60% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 75.0, #538, D3 #94), 24% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 79.5, #521, D3 #92), 34% (bubble if 7-3), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 89.5