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Rankings
#58 of 102 in Division 3
#13 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #100 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D3 (+16 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-0 A #412 Bexley (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 124
08/28 W 20-2 H #417 Franklin Heights (0-8) D2 R8, pick: W by 18 (82%), perf. rating 117
09/04 W 38-0 A #615 Eastmoor Academy (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 114
09/11 W 28-6 H #564 Centennial (1-7) D3 R11, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 99
09/17 W 35-6 H #486 Beechcroft (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 123
09/25 W 46-7 H #553 Grandview Heights (3-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 126
10/01 W 75-0 A #669 Whetstone (0-8) D2 R7, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 99
10/08 W 66-0 A #671 Mifflin (0-8) D2 R7, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 99
10/16 A #445 Northland (5-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 H #213 East (Columbus) (7-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
18.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 75% home (maybe if 9-1), 26% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.25 (17.45-24.95) 100% in, 81% home, 29% bye, proj. #7 (#1-#11), bye 29%
Lose: 14.25 (13.45-20.65) 96% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Granville (6-2) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 10W: 23.35 (22.25-24.95) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
(65%) 9W: 18.15 (17.45-20.65) 100% in, 73% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#11), Athens (7-1) 21%
( 7%) 8W: 14.20 (13.45-15.95) 95% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Granville (6-2) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(28%) WW: 23.35 (22.25-24.95) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 94%
( 2%) LW: 19.40 (18.75-20.65) 100% in, 97% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), South (Columbus) (8-0) 15%
(63%) WL: 18.15 (17.45-20.20) 100% in, 72% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Athens (7-1) 21%
( 7%) LL: 14.20 (13.45-15.95) 95% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Granville (6-2) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (8-0, 110.7, #291, D3 #58), likely in, 75% home (maybe if 9-1), 26% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 7 (7-0, 111.6, #279, D3 #55), likely in, 78% home (maybe if 9-1), 31% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 111.9, #279, D3 #55), likely in, 86% home (likely needs 9-1), 34% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 108.2, #303, D3 #60), 96% (bubble if 7-3), 65% home (maybe if 9-1), 18% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 104.1, #334, D3 #65), 91% (bubble if 7-3), 50% home (maybe if 9-1), 16% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 111.4, #285, D3 #53), likely in, 72% home (maybe if 8-2), 21% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 105.8, #323, D3 #66), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 76% home (maybe if 8-2), 29% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 103.3, #343, D3 #63), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 100.9, #359, D3 #67), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 56% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 105.4