Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#683 Mifflin Punchers (0-4) 30.1

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#104 of 104 in Division 2
#27 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #101 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #104 in D2 (-985 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/22 L 53-0 A #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating -3
08/29 L 32-8 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 39 (3%), perf. rating 44
09/05 L 46-0 A #467 Bexley (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 23
09/12 L 81-0 A #351 East (Columbus) (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 42
09/19 A #564 Centennial (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/25 H #572 Beechcroft (0-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/03 H #305 Northland (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/09 A #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 H #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/24 H #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 49 (1%)

Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention

Depending on the next game
Win: 2.25 ( 1.65- 6.70) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 9.95) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 2W: 3.40 ( 2.10- 8.75) out, proj. out
(12%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.95- 5.00) out, proj. out
(87%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLLLLL: 2.20 ( 1.65- 3.35) out
( 6%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 1.15- 2.30) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 0.95 ( 0.95- 2.60) out
(87%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 30.1, #683, D2 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 27.3, #685, D2 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 30.0, #683, D2 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 27.6, #686, D2 #104), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 34.0, #682, D2 #104), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 27.9