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Rankings
#93 of 104 in Division 3
#23 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #96 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #441 Grandview Heights (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 21 (17%)
08/28 H #577 South (Columbus) (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 7 (64%)
09/04 A #589 West (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 5 (61%)
09/11 A #359 Linden McKinley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/17 A #687 Mifflin (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 34 (98%)
09/25 H #368 Northland (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 25 (6%)
10/01 H #68 Harvest Prep (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/09 A #288 East (Columbus) (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/16 H #531 Beechcroft (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/23 H #603 Whetstone (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
17% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.75 ( 1.00-29.85) 47% in, 20% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 5.20 ( 0.00-26.35) 11% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Athens (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.58 (15.35-29.85) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 66%
( 3%) 8W: 18.50 (13.00-24.75) 99% in, 78% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 17%
( 7%) 7W: 14.90 (10.00-21.90) 87% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Athens (0-0) 10%
(12%) 6W: 11.80 ( 7.50-19.00) 47% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 8.80 ( 5.05-15.50) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Athens (0-0) 10%
(18%) 4W: 6.35 ( 3.30-12.90) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(17%) 3W: 4.15 ( 2.20-10.60) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(15%) 2W: 2.35 ( 1.10- 8.25) out, proj. out
(10%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.55- 5.55) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Athens (0-0) 9%
East (Columbus) (0-0) 6%
Bishop Hartley (0-0) 6%
Steubenville (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Licking Valley (0-0) 12%
Tri-Valley (0-0) 11%
Jackson (0-0) 11%
Steubenville (0-0) 8%
Granville (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.3, #180, D3 #29), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 49% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 71.2