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Rankings
#93 of 100 in Division 2
#23 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #92 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D2 (-816 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 8-6 A #587 Meadowdale (2-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 62
08/28 W 18-15 H #486 Beechcroft (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 4 (57%), perf. rating 85
09/04 L 41-0 A #182 Hamilton Township (6-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 66
09/11 L 49-14 H #321 Marion-Franklin (4-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 8 (32%), perf. rating 52
09/17 L 35-8 A #409 South (Columbus) (8-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (12%), perf. rating 55
09/25 L 16-14 H #541 Briggs (3-5) D2 R8, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 68
10/02 L 12-8 A #458 Africentric Early Coll. (2-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 82
10/08 L 34-16 A #309 West (8-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 84
10/16 H #615 Eastmoor Academy (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 H #373 Walnut Ridge (2-6) D2 R7, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.75 ( 3.20- 7.00) out, proj. out
Lose: 3.20 ( 2.65- 6.00) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 3W: 5.95 ( 4.95- 7.00) out, proj. out
(83%) 2W: 3.75 ( 3.20- 6.00) out, proj. out
(10%) 1W: 3.20 ( 2.65- 3.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WW: 5.95 ( 4.95- 7.00) out
(83%) WL: 3.75 ( 3.20- 4.80) out
(10%) LL: 3.20 ( 2.65- 3.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 72.5, #544, D2 #92), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 70.7, #552, D2 #93), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 69.7, #554, D2 #93), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 72.0, #543, D2 #92), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 79.9, #497, D2 #86), 20% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 86.1, #455, D2 #81), 27% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 86.9, #450, D2 #82), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 87.6, #451, D2 #83), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 89.4