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Rankings
#98 of 100 in Division 2
#24 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #96 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D2 (-985 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 48-14 H #537 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (1-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 21
08/28 L 53-0 A #461 Grandview Heights (2-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 24
09/04 A #529 Briggs (0-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 29 (5%)
09/10 A #467 Beechcroft (1-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/18 H #532 Bexley (0-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/25 A #212 East (Columbus) (2-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/01 H #323 Linden McKinley (2-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/09 H #402 Northland (2-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/16 H #668 Mifflin (0-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/23 A #605 Centennial (0-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 20 (9%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.31 ( 0.60- 3.44) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.60 ( 0.00- 3.63) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 3W: 1.92 ( 1.80- 2.46) out, proj. out
(18%) 2W: 1.21 ( 1.15- 1.66) out, proj. out
(56%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.55- 1.01) out, proj. out
(21%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) LLLLLLWW: 1.21 ( 1.21- 1.39) out
( 3%) LLWLLLWL: 1.21 ( 1.21- 1.36) out
(53%) LLLLLLWL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 0.77) out
(21%) LLLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 42.6, #650, D2 #98), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 53.5, #627, D2 #98), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 61.1, #603, D2 #98), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 68.0