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Rankings
#101 of 104 in Division 2
#26 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #99 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D2 (-710 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/23 L 42-7 A #302 Youngstown East (3-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 41 (3%), perf. rating 59
08/28 L 53-0 H #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 53
09/05 L 13-2 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 63
09/12 W 28-25 H #572 Beechcroft (0-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 20 (12%), perf. rating 70
09/19 A #467 Bexley (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/26 H #351 East (Columbus) (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 A #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/10 A #305 Northland (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/17 A #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/24 H #564 Centennial (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.55 ( 3.15-15.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 2.70 ( 0.95-13.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 4W: 7.15 ( 6.15-10.50) out, proj. out
(31%) 3W: 4.95 ( 3.70- 8.75) out, proj. out
(57%) 2W: 2.15 ( 1.75- 6.55) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 2.08 ( 0.95- 3.20) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLLWW: 8.80 ( 8.20-10.50) out
( 3%) WLLLWW: 6.55 ( 6.15- 8.15) out
(27%) LLLLWW: 4.95 ( 4.50- 6.15) out
( 3%) WLLLWL: 4.00 ( 3.70- 5.50) out
(56%) LLLLWL: 2.15 ( 1.75- 4.40) out
( 5%) LLLLLL: 2.08 ( 0.95- 3.20) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 59.8, #604, D2 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 52.5, #634, D2 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 47.7, #648, D2 #102), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 48.7, #645, D2 #102), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 47.3, #653, D2 #103), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 42.4