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Rankings
#67 of 104 in Division 2
#18 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #97 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D2 (-302 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 14-7 H #273 Columbus Academy (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 99
08/29 L 34-0 A #77 DeSales (Columbus) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (4%), perf. rating 97
09/05 W 17-12 A #427 KIPP Columbus (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 101
09/12 W 26-7 A #328 Whitehall-Yearling (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 20 (12%), perf. rating 136
09/18 H #351 East (Columbus) (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 8 (69%)
09/26 H #564 Centennial (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/03 A #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/10 H #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/17 A #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/24 A #572 Beechcroft (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
78% (likely needs 7-3), 47% home (likely needs 8-2), 3% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.30 (10.55-24.35) 96% in, 66% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 12%
Lose: 12.35 ( 4.10-19.00) 39% in, 5% home, proj. out (#6-out), Louisville (4-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
(43%) 8W: 21.05 (18.75-24.35) 100% in, 96% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 13%
(36%) 7W: 16.25 (13.60-21.90) 94% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 10%
(19%) 6W: 11.85 ( 9.30-18.30) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Louisville (4-0) 15%
( 2%) 5W: 9.50 ( 6.75-13.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(43%) WWWWWW: 21.05 (18.75-24.35) 100% in, 96% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 13%
(12%) LWWWWW: 16.25 (13.85-19.00) 93% in, 13% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Louisville (4-0) 10%
(23%) WWWWLW: 16.20 (13.60-19.35) 93% in, 14% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Teays Valley (3-1) 10%
(16%) LWWWLW: 11.60 ( 9.30-13.90) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out), Louisville (4-0) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 108.5, #305, D2 #67), 78% (likely needs 7-3), 47% home (likely needs 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 96.4, #392, D2 #79), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 100.8, #358, D2 #77), 61% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye, proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 99.8, #363, D2 #75), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 40% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 97.0, #385, D2 #79), 65% (bubble if 5-5), 40% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 93.6