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Rankings
#91 of 107 in Division 3
#21 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #97 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D3 (-475 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 32-28 H #572 Beechcroft (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 72
08/29 L 34-28 H #443 Cincinnati College Prep (2-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (67%), perf. rating 76
09/05 L 55-18 A #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 8 (33%), perf. rating 51
09/12 W 20-0 A #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (89%), perf. rating 82
09/18 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/26 A #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/03 H #189 Walnut Ridge (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/10 A #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/17 H #497 Independence (Cbus) (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/24 H #158 Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.95 ( 3.85-20.90) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
Lose: 4.35 ( 1.50-14.95) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 13.25 (12.00-15.70) 75% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 21%
(19%) 5W: 10.50 ( 8.00-12.95) 15% in, proj. out (#10-out), Hamilton Township (4-0) 19%
(32%) 4W: 7.10 ( 5.55-10.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(34%) 3W: 4.35 ( 3.20- 7.95) out, proj. out
(11%) 2W: 2.65 ( 1.50- 4.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWLWWL: 13.15 (12.00-14.55) 70% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 22%
(16%) WWLLWL: 10.50 ( 9.35-12.10) 15% in, proj. out (#10-out), Hamilton Township (4-0) 17%
(13%) WWLLLL: 7.25 ( 6.10- 9.50) out
(16%) LWLLWL: 7.05 ( 5.90- 8.85) out
( 2%) WLLLLL: 5.55 ( 3.85- 7.20) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 5.35 ( 3.65- 6.85) out
(28%) LWLLLL: 4.35 ( 3.20- 6.10) out
(11%) LLLLLL: 2.65 ( 1.50- 4.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 74.2, #536, D3 #91), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 75.3, #528, D3 #91), 14% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 82.8, #484, D3 #87), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 88.9, #446, D3 #83), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 89.6, #451, D3 #81), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 91.9