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Rankings
#68 of 108 in Division 6
#16 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #37 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D6 (-420 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 34-20 A #243 Hillsdale (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 98
08/28 L 9-7 A #562 Northwestern (W. Salem) (2-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 68
09/04 L 42-12 H #221 Smithville (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 73
09/11 W 41-28 H #606 Clearview (1-7) D4 R14, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 76
09/18 L 49-14 A #238 Columbia (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 30 (3%), perf. rating 67
09/25 L 48-7 H #146 Keystone (7-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 67
10/02 L 41-12 H #338 Firelands (6-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 17 (14%), perf. rating 59
10/09 L 36-28 A #491 Brookside (2-6) D4 R14, pick: L by 7 (32%), perf. rating 72
10/16 A #621 Wellington (1-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 A #632 South Central (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.49 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.49 ( 1.67- 4.46) out, proj. out
Lose: 2.74 ( 0.91- 3.20) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(85%) 3W: 3.49 ( 3.14- 4.46) out, proj. out
(13%) 2W: 2.38 ( 1.67- 3.20) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.91 ( 0.91- 1.37) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(85%) WW: 3.49 ( 3.14- 4.46) out
( 7%) LW: 2.74 ( 2.38- 3.20) out
( 6%) WL: 1.67 ( 1.67- 2.18) out
( 1%) LL: 0.91 ( 0.91- 1.37) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 76.4, #523, D6 #67), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 79.5, #500, D6 #64), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (1-4, 82.0, #485, D6 #63), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (1-3, 84.5, #470, D6 #60), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 89.9, #433, D6 #52), 6% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 90.8, #420, D6 #49), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 95.3, #399, D6 #44), 42% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 91.8, #430, D6 #49), 51% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 94.9