Region 14 home page
Region 14 projections
Region 14 playoff probabilities
Region 14 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 14 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#83 of 105 in Division 4
#22 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #82 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #73 in D4 (-342 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 42-6 A #170 Edison (Milan) (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (5%), perf. rating 76
08/29 L 42-12 H #285 Vermilion (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 7 (36%), perf. rating 64
09/05 L 42-6 A #205 Bay (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 70
09/12 W 40-20 H #632 Brookside (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 82
09/19 A #662 Oberlin (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/26 A #521 Clearview (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/03 H #399 Black River (2-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/10 H #597 Wellington (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/17 A #418 Keystone (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/24 H #296 Columbia (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.05 ( 2.15-16.40) 13% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Perkins (1-3) 14%
Lose: 2.90 ( 0.50-14.75) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 16.05 (15.85-16.40) 100% in, 82% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Perkins (1-3) 16%
( 6%) 6W: 12.10 (11.60-14.75) 88% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Clear Fork (3-1) 15%
(19%) 5W: 9.00 ( 8.35-12.40) 30% in, proj. out (#9-out), Bay (3-1) 16%
(34%) 4W: 6.25 ( 5.70- 9.55) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(31%) 3W: 4.20 ( 3.50- 7.65) out, proj. out
( 8%) 2W: 2.20 ( 1.85- 4.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWW: 16.05 (15.85-16.40) 100% in, 82% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Perkins (1-3) 16%
( 4%) WWWWWL: 11.80 (11.60-13.05) 85% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Clear Fork (3-1) 15%
( 8%) WWWWLL: 8.80 ( 8.50-10.45) 24% in, proj. out (#10-out), Napoleon (2-2) 18%
( 7%) WWLWWL: 8.80 ( 8.55-10.10) 26% in, proj. out (#10-out), Bay (3-1) 17%
( 4%) WLWWLL: 6.95 ( 6.70- 8.70) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Bay (3-1) 42%
(22%) WWLWLL: 6.05 ( 5.95- 7.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Bay (3-1) 44%
(26%) WLLWLL: 4.20 ( 4.15- 6.10) out
( 7%) WLLLLL: 2.15 ( 2.15- 3.65) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 79.6, #496, D4 #83), 13% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 82.3, #489, D4 #82), 19% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 85.3, #464, D4 #78), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 96.1, #391, D4 #63), 43% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 97.5, #380, D4 #64), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 95.0