Region 21 home page
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Region 21 playoff probabilities
Region 21 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#95 of 108 in Division 6
#25 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #46 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #90 in D6 (-490 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 45-7 A #314 W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 37 (4%), perf. rating 54
08/28 L 40-22 A #608 Mapleton (2-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 33
09/11 L 49-18 H #238 Columbia (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 69
09/18 L 20-14 A #606 Clearview (1-7) D4 R14, pick: L by 18 (13%), perf. rating 52
09/25 W 44-0 H #696 Cardinal (0-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 66
10/02 L 49-0 A #146 Keystone (7-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 69
10/09 L 42-7 H #338 Firelands (6-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 50
10/16 H #531 Black River (1-7) D6 R21, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/23 A #491 Brookside (2-6) D4 R14, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
0.39 Harbin points (divisor 87)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.81 ( 1.41- 3.86) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.39 ( 0.39- 2.84) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 2W: 1.81 ( 1.41- 2.84) out, proj. out
(88%) 1W: 0.39 ( 0.39- 1.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LW: 1.98 ( 1.98- 2.84) out
( 8%) WL: 1.81 ( 1.41- 2.27) out
(88%) LL: 0.39 ( 0.39- 1.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-5, 50.6, #629, D6 #97), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-8
Week 6 (1-4, 49.5, #630, D6 #98), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-8
Week 5 (0-4, 48.5, #632, D6 #97), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-8
Week 4 (0-3, 45.3, #642, D6 #98), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (0-2, 41.0, #650, D6 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (0-2, 43.6, #647, D6 #101), 1% (must have at least 4-5 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 1 (0-1, 53.4, #628, D6 #94), 1% (must have at least 5-4 for any chance), proj. out at 2-7
Week 0 (0-0, 54.8, #622, D6 #91), 5% (bubble if 6-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-6
Last season 51.8