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Rankings
#81 of 107 in Division 7
#18 of 26 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #38 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D7 (-122 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 48-0 H #422 Wickliffe (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 36 (5%), perf. rating 28
08/29 W 13-12 A #675 Brooklyn (0-4) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 39
09/05 W 21-18 H #638 Woodward (Toledo) (1-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 25 (8%), perf. rating 55
09/12 L 42-7 A #418 Keystone (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 43
09/19 H #496 Firelands (1-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/26 H #597 Wellington (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (13%)
10/03 A #296 Columbia (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/10 H #521 Clearview (0-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/17 A #632 Brookside (0-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/24 H #399 Black River (2-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
11% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.65 ( 2.90-11.70) 51% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Malvern (2-2) 17%
Lose: 2.60 ( 1.55-12.25) 10% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Monroeville (2-2) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 6.70 ( 5.00-10.30) 94% in, 25% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (1-3) 22%
( 7%) 4W: 4.85 ( 3.50-10.20) 60% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), East Canton (4-0) 17%
(25%) 3W: 3.65 ( 2.05- 8.20) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Monroeville (2-2) 19%
(67%) 2W: 2.55 ( 1.55- 5.55) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LWLLWL: 4.75 ( 3.70- 7.05) 53% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Monroeville (2-2) 21%
( 1%) LLLWWL: 4.65 ( 3.50- 6.75) 55% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Malvern (2-2) 21%
( 8%) LWLLLL: 4.05 ( 2.75- 6.70) 28% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), East Palestine (4-0) 22%
( 1%) WLLLLL: 4.00 ( 2.90- 6.00) 23% in, proj. out (#10-out), East Palestine (4-0) 30%
( 2%) LLLWLL: 3.95 ( 2.50- 5.80) 23% in, proj. out (#10-out), Monroeville (2-2) 25%
(12%) LLLLWL: 3.05 ( 2.05- 5.70) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out), Monroeville (2-2) 29%
(67%) LLLLLL: 2.55 ( 1.55- 5.55) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), East Palestine (4-0) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 41.3, #662, D7 #81), 11% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (2-1, 39.8, #662, D7 #81), 11% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 30.7, #679, D7 #91), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 29.1, #683, D7 #91), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 32.4, #685, D7 #92), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 31.3