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Rankings
#29 of 107 in Division 6
#6 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #82 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D6 (+130 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 30-0 A #596 Independence (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 108
08/29 W 27-20 H #329 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 114
09/05 W 49-0 H #624 Northwestern (W. Salem) (0-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 116
09/12 W 35-6 H #597 Wellington (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 102
09/19 A #399 Black River (2-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/26 A #632 Brookside (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/03 H #662 Oberlin (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/10 A #418 Keystone (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/17 H #521 Clearview (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/24 A #496 Firelands (1-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
21.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 94% home (maybe if 8-2), 58% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.85 (11.65-23.30) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#11), bye 73%
Lose: 16.90 ( 8.75-19.80) 99% in, 74% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Mineral Ridge (3-1) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(58%) 10W: 21.20 (18.90-23.30) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#8), bye 92%
(29%) 9W: 17.85 (15.55-21.65) 100% in, 99% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), bye 16%
(10%) 8W: 14.95 (12.60-19.25) 100% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Black River (2-2) 14%
( 3%) 7W: 12.60 (10.10-16.00) 96% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Black River (2-2) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(58%) WWWWWW: 21.20 (18.90-23.30) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#8), bye 92%
( 2%) WWWWLW: 18.90 (16.50-20.75) 100% in, 99% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 33%
( 3%) WWWWWL: 18.55 (16.70-20.70) 100% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 32%
(13%) LWWWWW: 17.70 (15.55-19.80) 100% in, 99% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Mineral Ridge (3-1) 15%
(10%) WWWLWW: 17.70 (15.70-19.85) 100% in, 99% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), bye 13%
( 1%) WWWLWL: 15.35 (12.95-17.20) 100% in, 84% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Rootstown (4-0) 20%
( 5%) LWWLWW: 14.55 (12.60-17.15) 100% in, 52% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Black River (2-2) 18%
( 1%) LWWLWL: 12.38 (10.10-14.60) 94% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Black River (2-2) 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 109.5, #296, D6 #29), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 8-2), 58% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 109.8, #288, D6 #24), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 107.8, #311, D6 #26), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 109.4, #296, D6 #19), 91% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 106.5, #305, D6 #18), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 106.0