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Rankings
#54 of 105 in Division 5
#20 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #47 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #183 Norwayne (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (13%)
08/28 A #346 Cloverleaf (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 H #94 Buckeye (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 33 (3%)
09/11 H #467 St Paul (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 H #621 Brookside (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/25 A #430 Black River (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/02 H #622 Wellington (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/09 A #348 Columbia (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/16 A #480 Firelands (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 H #434 Clearview (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.94 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
28% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.74 ( 1.62-29.70) 68% in, 41% home, 15% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 22%
Lose: 8.47 ( 0.00-27.16) 23% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Margaretta (0-0) 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.88 (19.45-29.70) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 86%
( 4%) 9W: 21.14 (15.22-27.16) 100% in, 93% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 42%
( 9%) 8W: 17.73 (13.09-25.18) 97% in, 55% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Margaretta (0-0) 7%
(13%) 7W: 14.58 ( 9.83-20.60) 71% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Eastwood (0-0) 8%
(16%) 6W: 11.63 ( 7.34-17.90) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Eastwood (0-0) 8%
(17%) 5W: 8.94 ( 5.31-15.41) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Coldwater (0-0) 9%
(15%) 4W: 6.44 ( 2.67-12.97) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(12%) 3W: 4.16 ( 2.02-10.33) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 2W: 2.23 ( 1.11- 6.77) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.01 ( 0.40- 3.97) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Margaretta (0-0) 7%
Bluffton (0-0) 6%
Eastwood (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Triway (0-0) 10%
Galion (0-0) 9%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 8%
Coldwater (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 122.2, #195, D5 #19), 61% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Last season 89.9