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Rankings
#21 of 106 in Division 5
#8 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #51 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D5 (+277 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 36-21 H #282 Norwayne (4-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 132
08/28 W 12-10 A #227 Cloverleaf (6-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 8 (34%), perf. rating 123
09/04 W 40-29 H #315 Buckeye (3-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 122
09/18 W 56-24 H #496 Brookside (1-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 127
09/25 W 48-7 A #523 Black River (1-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 139
10/02 W 49-0 H #629 Wellington (1-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 111
10/09 A #167 Columbia (7-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/16 A #354 Firelands (5-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/23 H #607 Clearview (1-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 43 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-1 record
21.13 Harbin points (divisor 89)
#2 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 84% bye (likely needs 8-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.85 (20.35-28.04) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Lose: 20.80 (14.96-23.38) 100% in, 98% home, 77% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 77%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 9W: 25.96 (23.71-28.04) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(61%) 8W: 21.13 (18.44-26.13) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 94%
(13%) 7W: 17.32 (14.96-21.81) 100% in, 90% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#10), North Union (5-2) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(26%) WWW: 25.96 (23.71-28.04) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 2%) WLW: 21.92 (20.35-23.89) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(58%) LWW: 21.08 (18.44-23.38) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 93%
(12%) LLW: 17.32 (14.96-19.34) 100% in, 90% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), North Union (5-2) 20%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-0, 120.3, #219, D5 #21), appears locked in and likely home, 84% bye (likely needs 8-1), proj. #2 at 8-1
Week 6 (5-0, 120.1, #217, D5 #22), appears locked in and likely home, 84% bye (likely needs 8-1), proj. #2 at 8-1
Week 5 (4-0, 117.0, #242, D5 #26), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-3), 73% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #4 at 8-1
Week 4 (3-0, 118.8, #228, D5 #23), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-3), 76% bye (maybe if 8-1), proj. #2 at 8-1
Week 3 (3-0, 118.2, #235, D5 #22), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 113.4, #268, D5 #30), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 67% home (maybe if 8-2), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 111.9, #276, D5 #31), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 48% home (maybe if 8-2), 23% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 95.3, #406, D5 #54), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 89.9