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Rankings
#100 of 107 in Division 6
#24 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #78 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D6 (-847 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 54-22 H #535 Grand Valley (3-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 25
08/29 L 13-12 H #662 Oberlin (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 38
09/05 L 42-0 A #422 Wickliffe (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 32
09/12 L 48-8 H #391 Rootstown (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 43 (1%), perf. rating 36
09/19 A #528 Crestwood (1-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/26 A #702 Beachwood (0-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/03 H #596 Independence (0-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/10 A #601 Trinity (1-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/17 H #329 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/24 A #487 Cuyahoga Heights (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.80 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.11 ( 0.90- 6.80) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.80 ( 0.00- 7.76) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 3.32 ( 2.16- 7.21) out, proj. out
(14%) 2W: 2.06 ( 1.25- 5.04) out, proj. out
(76%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.35- 3.78) out, proj. out
( 7%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWLLLW: 3.43 ( 2.26- 4.33) out
( 5%) LWLWLL: 2.06 ( 1.71- 3.22) out
( 1%) WWLLLL: 1.71 ( 1.35- 2.62) out
( 6%) LWWLLL: 1.61 ( 1.25- 2.87) out
(76%) LWLLLL: 0.80 ( 0.45- 1.61) out
( 7%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 35.1, #675, D6 #100), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 33.0, #676, D6 #100), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 30.2, #681, D6 #100), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 28.7, #684, D6 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 42.7, #664, D6 #95), 5% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 40.9