Region 21 home page
Region 21 projections
Region 21 playoff probabilities
Region 21 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 21 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#65 of 108 in Division 6
#13 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #99 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D6 (-142 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 47-14 H #660 Brooklyn (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 85
08/28 W 28-14 H #547 Southeast (3-5) D5 R17, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 90
09/04 W by forfeit H #659 Fairport Harding (1-6) D7 R25 (no game)
09/10 L 33-21 H #236 University School (6-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 98
09/17 L 42-14 H #369 John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-4) D6 R21, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 55
09/26 W 28-14 A #537 St John School (6-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 97
10/02 W 40-14 H #668 Leetonia (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 72
10/09 W 40-12 A #696 Cardinal (0-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 50
10/16 A #626 Mathews (5-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #555 Pymatuning Valley (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.46 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.41 (11.17-14.89) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Brookfield (6-2) 28%
Lose: 10.86 ( 8.98-12.09) 75% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Smithville (7-1) 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(71%) 8W: 13.46 (13.05-14.89) 100% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Brookfield (6-2) 36%
(26%) 7W: 11.58 (10.86-13.01) 98% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Smithville (7-1) 34%
( 3%) 6W: 9.39 ( 8.98-10.21) 45% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (7-1) 45%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(71%) WW: 13.46 (13.05-14.89) 100% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Brookfield (6-2) 36%
(22%) WL: 11.58 (11.17-13.01) 99% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Smithville (7-1) 34%
( 4%) LW: 11.27 (10.86-12.09) 96% in, proj. #11 (#10-out), Smithville (7-1) 37%
( 3%) LL: 9.39 ( 8.98-10.21) 45% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (7-1) 45%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 80.3, #502, D6 #65), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 81.7, #485, D6 #63), 92% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 76.4, #519, D6 #67), 62% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 74.4, #526, D6 #73), 42% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 68.9, #563, D6 #76), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 67.9, #572, D6 #77), 34% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 62.5, #596, D6 #84), 27% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 56.2, #619, D6 #89), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 60.9