Region 21 home page
Region 21 projections
Region 21 playoff probabilities
Region 21 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 21 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#63 of 108 in Division 6
#12 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #96 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D6 (-178 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 47-14 H #666 Brooklyn (1-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 81
08/28 W 28-14 H #546 Southeast (2-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 90
09/04 W by forfeit H #653 Fairport Harding (1-4) D7 R25 (no game)
09/10 L 33-21 H #266 University School (4-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 94
09/17 L 42-14 H #307 John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 64
09/26 W 28-14 A #550 St John School (4-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 94
10/02 H #671 Leetonia (2-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 A #696 Cardinal (0-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 A #627 Mathews (4-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 H #554 Pymatuning Valley (3-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.25 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#10 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.90 ( 7.30-15.55) 92% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Hillsdale (5-1) 23%
Lose: 11.07 ( 6.85-12.90) 62% in, proj. #12 (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(75%) 8W: 13.25 (11.32-15.55) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), United (4-1) 24%
(23%) 7W: 11.07 ( 8.77-14.74) 78% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Smithville (6-0) 24%
( 3%) 6W: 8.93 ( 7.30-12.20) 19% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(75%) WWWW: 13.25 (11.32-15.55) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), United (4-1) 24%
(18%) WWWL: 11.02 ( 9.44-13.57) 76% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Smithville (6-0) 25%
( 3%) WWLW: 10.86 ( 8.77-12.55) 84% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Smithville (6-0) 23%
( 2%) WWLL: 8.83 ( 7.30-10.31) 10% in, proj. out (#12-out), Mineral Ridge (6-0) 37%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 81.7, #485, D6 #63), 92% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 76.4, #519, D6 #67), 62% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 74.4, #526, D6 #73), 42% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 68.9, #563, D6 #76), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 67.9, #572, D6 #77), 34% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 62.5, #596, D6 #84), 27% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 56.2, #619, D6 #89), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 60.9