Region 17 home page
Region 17 projections
Region 17 playoff probabilities
Region 17 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 17 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#72 of 105 in Division 5
#18 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #46 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #383 Mogadore (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 20 (18%)
08/28 H #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 26 (10%)
09/04 A #427 Mineral Ridge (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 15 (20%)
09/11 H #581 Independence (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 A #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/02 H #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/09 A #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/16 H #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/23 A #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.18 ( 0.35-29.35) 48% in, 24% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 4.05 ( 0.00-24.70) 12% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.10 (15.90-25.75) 100% in, 99% home, 50% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 50%
( 3%) 8W: 17.40 (12.40-22.50) 100% in, 87% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 17%
( 5%) 7W: 14.50 ( 8.70-19.75) 97% in, 50% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Liberty (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 11.75 ( 6.30-17.25) 73% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 9.25 ( 3.80-15.05) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 6.85 ( 2.50-12.65) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Garfield (0-0) 15%
(17%) 3W: 4.65 ( 1.60-10.25) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(17%) 2W: 2.75 ( 0.70- 7.25) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.35- 4.50) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 8%
Girard (0-0) 8%
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 20%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 113.9, #255, D5 #26), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Last season 78.4