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Rankings
#72 of 105 in Division 5
#18 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #45 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #383 Mogadore (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 20 (18%)
08/28 H #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 26 (10%)
09/04 A #427 Mineral Ridge (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 15 (20%)
09/11 H #581 Independence (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 A #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/25 H #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/02 H #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/09 A #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/16 H #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/23 A #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.20 ( 0.35-27.55) 48% in, 24% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 4.10 ( 0.00-26.50) 13% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.60 (16.25-27.25) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 56%
( 3%) 8W: 17.35 (12.15-23.45) 99% in, 86% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
( 5%) 7W: 14.60 ( 8.45-20.90) 96% in, 50% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 11.80 ( 6.65-17.15) 74% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
(12%) 5W: 9.20 ( 4.70-16.20) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Girard (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 6.85 ( 2.60-11.90) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Girard (0-0) 15%
(17%) 3W: 4.70 ( 1.60- 9.50) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(17%) 2W: 2.80 ( 0.75- 7.05) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.35- 4.50) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 8%
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 20%
Barnesville (0-0) 16%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 113.8, #255, D5 #26), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Last season 78.4