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Rankings
#62 of 106 in Division 5
#21 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #22 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D5 (-603 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 27-0 A #134 West Geauga (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 13 (28%), perf. rating 95
08/28 L 42-6 H #167 Columbia (7-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 72
09/04 L 35-31 A #437 Orange (3-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 85
09/10 L 17-16 H #434 Chagrin Falls (5-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 85
09/18 L 35-21 H #337 Cuyahoga Heights (6-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 10 (27%), perf. rating 82
09/25 L 26-15 H #400 Berkshire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 76
10/02 L 36-21 A #327 Conneaut (6-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 85
10/09 H #425 Crestwood (1-6) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/16 A #64 Kirtland (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/23 A #543 Rootstown (3-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (74%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.90 ( 0.80- 7.90) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.70 ( 0.00- 6.20) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(33%) 2W: 2.95 ( 2.90- 6.20) out, proj. out
(47%) 1W: 1.70 ( 0.80- 4.05) out, proj. out
(19%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(33%) WLW: 2.90 ( 2.90- 3.85) out
(40%) LLW: 1.70 ( 1.70- 2.60) out
( 7%) WLL: 1.20 ( 0.80- 1.65) out
(19%) LLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 84.9, #467, D5 #62), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (0-6, 81.9, #483, D5 #70), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (0-5, 84.5, #467, D5 #66), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 85.0, #466, D5 #66), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 87.2, #449, D5 #58), 10% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 88.2, #438, D5 #62), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 96.3, #393, D5 #54), 41% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 104.2, #323, D5 #40), 53% (bubble if 6-4), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 108.4