Region 18 home page
Region 18 projections
Region 18 playoff probabilities
Region 18 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 18 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#35 of 106 in Division 5
#11 of 26 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #77 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D5 (-72 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 39-26 H #521 Clearview (0-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 15 (25%), perf. rating 94
08/29 L 27-20 A #296 Columbia (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 101
09/05 W 63-28 H #453 Orange (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 135
09/12 L 45-21 H #39 Kirtland (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 120
09/19 A #409 Berkshire (2-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (71%)
09/26 H #601 Trinity (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/03 A #487 Cuyahoga Heights (2-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/10 H #596 Independence (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/17 A #675 Brooklyn (0-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/24 A Cabell Midland WV (0-2) D1
Regular season projections
7-3 record
13.51 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#10 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.56 ( 6.58-19.17) 98% in, 26% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Fredericktown (4-0) 14%
Lose: 11.96 ( 4.84-16.22) 84% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(40%) 8W: 15.26 (11.67-19.17) 99% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Fredericktown (4-0) 14%
(43%) 7W: 13.51 ( 8.04-17.01) 98% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Fredericktown (4-0) 14%
(14%) 6W: 11.25 ( 6.70-14.89) 80% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 20%
( 3%) 5W: 8.57 ( 5.79-11.47) 34% in, proj. out (#10-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 27%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(40%) WWWWWW: 15.26 (11.67-19.17) 99% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Fredericktown (4-0) 14%
(24%) WWWWWL: 13.94 (10.60-17.01) 99% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Fredericktown (4-0) 15%
(14%) LWWWWW: 12.99 ( 9.45-16.22) 98% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 15%
( 3%) WWLWWW: 12.00 ( 8.04-15.18) 91% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 18%
( 8%) LWWWWL: 11.71 ( 9.37-14.37) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 18%
( 2%) WWLWWL: 10.67 ( 8.38-12.81) 74% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 28%
( 3%) LWLWWW: 9.62 ( 6.70-12.49) 54% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 25%
( 2%) LWLWWL: 8.29 ( 6.99-10.12) 31% in, proj. out (#10-out), Liberty-Benton (4-0) 27%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 105.1, #329, D5 #35), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 102.6, #361, D5 #43), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 96.8, #384, D5 #48), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 101.0, #351, D5 #44), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 89.2, #454, D5 #61), 49% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 4-6
Last season 93.6