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Rankings
#40 of 105 in Division 5
#18 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #49 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #240 West Geauga (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 13 (28%)
08/28 H #348 Columbia (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 4 (57%)
09/04 A #456 Orange (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 16 (81%)
09/10 H #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 22 (90%)
09/18 H #435 Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 15 (83%)
09/25 H #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 A #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/09 H #499 Crestwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/16 A #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/23 A #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
53% (bubble if 6-4), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.95 ( 1.00-30.20) 83% in, 62% home, 26% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 32%
Lose: 11.25 ( 0.00-27.20) 41% in, 18% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 25.40 (19.65-30.20) 100% in, 99% home, 90% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 90%
(11%) 9W: 21.95 (15.30-27.40) 99% in, 97% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 52%
(17%) 8W: 18.85 (12.60-25.65) 99% in, 73% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 12%
(17%) 7W: 15.85 ( 9.00-22.80) 87% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 12.85 ( 7.25-18.80) 51% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Eastwood (0-0) 8%
(12%) 5W: 10.00 ( 5.20-16.55) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Margaretta (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 7.45 ( 2.85-14.20) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 8%) 3W: 5.10 ( 1.75-11.05) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.05 ( 0.95- 7.50) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.35 ( 0.35- 4.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 6%
Margaretta (0-0) 6%
Eastwood (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Galion (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 117.2, #224, D5 #23), 52% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 108.4